Tijuana vs Chivas Guadalajara: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga MX Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara
Result
3:3
22/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.262.33
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1423
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
69% (146/211)82% (345/422)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.262.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.891.83
Total shots
1423
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
1017
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
2636
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
159
Passes
69% (146/211)82% (345/422)
Long passes
39% (23/59)43% (18/42)
Passes in final third
63% (45/71)74% (125/168)
Crosses
50% (4/8)19% (6/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.30
Throw-ins
1128
Fouls
1015
Tackles
83% (20/24)67% (10/15)
Duels won
6452
Clearances
6213
Interceptions
010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.832.89
Goals prevented
-1.170.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Ledezma R. , Mozo A. ,
  • 5', 1 - 0, Mora G. ,
  • 44', Sepulveda G. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Campillo Del Campo D. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Preciado A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 46', Campillo Del Campo D. , Aguirre D. ,
  • 46', Mozo A. , Cowell C. ,
  • 46', Tapias M. , Alvarado R. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Boya F. , Vega A. (A),
  • 58', Arciga R. 🟨,
  • 63', Tona I. 🟨,
  • 64', 3 - 0, Mora G. ,
  • 69', Tona I. , Mejia A. ,
  • 70', Aguirre D. 🟨,
  • 72', Aguirre D. , Gomez M. ,
  • 73', Boya F. 🟨,
  • 74', 3 - 1, Gonzalez A. , Gutierrez E. (A),
  • 75', Castaneda K. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 75', Arciga R. , Vitinho ,
  • 80', Inzunza R. , Corona J. ,
  • 83', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Alvarez E. ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 3, Alvarado R. , Gomez M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tijuana
30.2%
Draw
26.7%
Chivas Guadalajara
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 27.4% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 27.6% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tijuana's form might have worsened.
  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tijuana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.49)
    3.5
    (3.43)
    2.18
    (2.69)
    7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 25%). Guadalajara (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Tijuana has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Tijuana: Blanco D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Chicharito (Calf Injury) Govea O. (Muscle Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tijuana: Bilbao U. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 2:1
    12.07.2024 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 4:2
    26.01.2024 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1
    22.08.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 1:0
    15.02.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 2:1
    Latest results of Tijuana
    16.08.2025 Pachuca - Tijuana 0:2
    09.08.2025 Mazatlan - Tijuana 2:2
    06.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Tijuana 2:1
    03.08.2025 Colorado Rapids - Tijuana 1:2
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey650113:7615
    2Cruz Azul642013:7614
    3Pachuca641111:5613
    4Club America53209:4511
    5Tigres UANL531115:8710
    6Toluca631213:9410
    7Club Tijuana623110:919
    8Juarez62226:7-18
    9Club Leon62135:9-47
    10Santos Laguna62049:10-16
    11Atl. San Luis62049:10-16
    12Mazatlan FC61328:9-16
    13UNAM Pumas51226:8-25
    14Atlas512210:14-45
    15Necaxa61236:10-45
    16Guadalajara Chivas51138:10-24
    17Queretaro61147:12-54
    18Puebla51044:14-103

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    worldWorldVIX App
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan