Result
3:0
17/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (321/390) | 86% (365/425) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (321/390) | 86% (365/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (36/67) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (62/91) | 68% (54/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Paulinho 🟨,
- 16', Joaquim 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Vega A. (Pen),
- 26', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 37', Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↓, Bruno Mendez ↑,
- 54', Romulo ↓, Cordova S. ↑,
- 61', Gallardo J. 🟨,
- 69', Paulinho ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 70', Angulo J. ↓, Helinho ↑,
- 75', Joaquim ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 0, Lopez I. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
- 82', 3 - 0, Vega A. ⚽, Ruiz M. (A),
- 85', Lainez D. ↓, Lorona V. ↑,
- 85', Brunetta J. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
- 85', Ruiz M. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
- 85', Vega A. ↓, Morales R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toluca
51.7% | Draw
26.8% | Tigres UANL
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tigres UANL might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigres UANL could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toluca - Tigres UANL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2) |
3.52 ↑
(3.3) |
4.44 ↑
(3.3) |
6.1%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toluca - Tigres UANL?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is Toluca will win! (11 of 13 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Toluca is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Tigres: Gignac A.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Toluca: Ruiz M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Guerrero R.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Tigres UANL?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Toluca?
Tigres UANL has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Tigres UANL were as follows:
14.05.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Toluca
1:1
01.02.2025
Toluca
-
Tigres UANL
1:0
06.11.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Toluca
2:1
02.03.2024
Toluca
-
Tigres UANL
2:1
04.10.2023
Tigres UANL
-
Toluca
2:2
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Monterrey (8) | 2 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (4) | Necaxa (5) | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Club America (2) | Pachuca (7) | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Club Leon (6) | 2 : 1, 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Tigres UANL (4) | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Club America (2) | Cruz Azul (3) | 2 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Toluca (1) | Club America (2) | |
Which TV channels are streaming of Toluca - Tigres UANL?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN, Univision |
