Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chinese Super League Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Result
3:4
05/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 11
Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.08
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
75% (266/353)79% (290/366)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.261.82
Total shots
179
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
309
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2112
Passes
75% (266/353)79% (290/366)
Long passes
43% (22/51)37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
59% (74/125)61% (54/88)
Crosses
23% (7/31)0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.23
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1221
Tackles
47% (7/15)80% (4/5)
Duels won
6145
Clearances
2451
Interceptions
24
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.822.26
Goals prevented
-1.18-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Bruno Nazario (Pen),
  • 9', Iago Maidana 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Bruno Nazario (Own goal),
  • 35', Liu Bin , Liu Yixin ,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Quiles A. , Xadas (A),
  • 40', Huang Ruifeng 🟨,
  • 45+7', Fang Jingqi , Yan Bingliang ,
  • 45+8', 2 - 2, Bruno Nazario ,
  • 45+13', Salvador C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 61', Li Xingxian , Yin Hongbo ,
  • 67', Ademi A. , Sun Ming-Him ,
  • 73', Wang Xianjun 🟨,
  • 74', Huang Zichang , Liu Xinyu ,
  • 74', Zhong Yihao , Du Zhixuan ,
  • 75', 3 - 2, Lucas Maia ,
  • 78', Wang Qiuming , Guo Hao ,
  • 79', Huang Jiahui , Yang Fan ,
  • 79', Ba Dun , Xie Weijun ,
  • 81', Bruno Nazario 🟨,
  • 82', Du Zhixuan 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 3, Xadas (Pen),
  • 90', 3 - 4, Guo Hao ,

Chances of winning


Henan Songshan Longmen
46.3%
Draw
26.9%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 26.8% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 25.4% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.05)
    3.51
    (3.5)
    3.47
    (3.43)
    6.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 1.
    • In recent matches, Henan Jianye has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Henan Jianye is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Henan Jianye: Wang Shangyuan (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Shi Yan (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Henan Jianye won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Henan Songshan Longmen 1:0
    04.05.2024 Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1:2
    13.08.2023 Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1:0
    14.05.2023 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Henan Songshan Longmen 1:0
    10.12.2022 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Henan Songshan Longmen 1:1
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chengdu Rongcheng23155348:183050
    2Shanghai Shenhua23154449:262349
    3Shanghai Port23146353:322148
    4Beijing Guoan23146351:321948
    5Shandong Taishan23124751:351640
    6Zhejiang Professional2397746:361034
    7Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2397730:32-234
    8Yunnan Yukun2386935:44-930
    9Dalian Yingbo2285921:32-1129
    10Qingdao West Coast2269729:34-527
    11Wuhan Three Towns23661128:42-1424
    12Henan Songshan Longmen23651238:41-323
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng23621528:50-2220
    14Meizhou Hakka23451428:49-2117
    15Qingdao Hainiu23371321:35-1416
    16Changchun Yatai23441519:37-1816

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League

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