Thun vs Aarau: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swiss Challenge League Thun - Aarau
Result
2:1
02/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Challenge League - Round 33
  • Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)
Thun - Aarau - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.86
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
69% (169/244)84% (394/470)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.780.91
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
3926
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
69% (169/244)84% (394/470)
Long passes
42% (21/50)49% (35/71)
Passes in final third
49% (46/94)69% (90/130)
Crosses
20% (2/10)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.90
Throw-ins
2612
Fouls
1510
Tackles
54% (7/13)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4155
Clearances
1745
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.911.78
Goals prevented
-0.09-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Stewart L. , Bertone L. (A),
  • 6', 1 - 1, Bahloul S. , Dickenmann M. (A),
  • 31', Obexer L. , Kessler R. ,
  • 45+2', Bamert J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Montolio G. 🟨,
  • 61', Janjicic V. , Roth J. ,
  • 61', Stewart L. , Ibayi C. ,
  • 64', Essiam E. 🟨,
  • 71', Essiam E. , Fofana M. ,
  • 75', Rastoder E. , Frith D. ,
  • 76', Castroman M. , Meichtry F. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Meichtry F. , Reichmuth N. (A),
  • 82', Jackle O. 🟨,
  • 85', Jackle O. , Derbaci D. ,
  • 85', Koide H. , Bobadilla R. ,
  • 85', Bahloul S. , Toure Y. ,
  • 86', Reichmuth N. , Franke D. ,
  • 90', Ibayi C. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bertone L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Acquah D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Thun
46.6%
Draw
25.8%
Aarau
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 26.7% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 26.2% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Thun - Aarau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.09)
    3.59
    (3.48)
    3.34
    (3.22)
    8.1%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Thun - Aarau?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Thun will win! (4 of 5 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 2.
    • Thun is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Aarau has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Thun is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Thun: Balaruban A. (Muscle Injury) Burki M. (Inactive) Matoshi V. (Shoulder Injury) Tebily H. (Injury) Tomas M. (Arm Injury)
    • There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thun won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Thun won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Thun - Aarau were as follows:
    14.02.2025 Aarau - Thun 1:0
    30.11.2024 Thun - Aarau 1:1
    19.07.2024 Aarau - Thun 1:3
    19.04.2024 Aarau - Thun 3:0
    16.02.2024 Thun - Aarau 1:0
    Latest results of Thun
    25.04.2025 Neuchâtel Xamax - Thun 0:2
    21.04.2025 Thun - Wil 1900 7:0
    11.04.2025 Stade Nyonnais - Thun 0:2
    04.04.2025 Thun - Schaffhausen 3:0
    31.03.2025 Lausanne Ouchy - Thun 3:0
    Latest results of Aarau
    25.04.2025 Schaffhausen - Aarau 1:1
    18.04.2025 Aarau - Vaduz 2:2
    11.04.2025 Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau 1:1
    04.04.2025 Aarau - Lausanne Ouchy 2:2
    31.03.2025 Bellinzona - Aarau 1:1
    Swiss Challenge League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thun ✔ 35209669:393069
    2Aarau ✔ 351612762:441860
    3Etoile-Carouge351591158:461254
    4Vaduz3513121048:47151
    5Lausanne Ouchy3513111152:43950
    6Wil3513111157:53450
    7Xamax351251855:62-741
    8Bellinzona3510111443:58-1541
    9Stade Nyonnais351052043:68-2535
    10Schaffhausen ✔ 35772139:66-2725

          Promotion ~ Super League
          Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ Promotion League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Thun is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super League
    Aarau is Qualified for Super League (Promotion )
    Schaffhausen is Relegated to Promotion League
    Which TV channels are streaming of Thun - Aarau?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom
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