Result
2:1
02/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Challenge League - Round 33
- Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.49 | 0.86 |
Ball Possession |
---|
35% | 65% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
69% (169/244) | 84% (394/470) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.49 | 0.86 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.78 | 0.91 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
39 | 26 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
69% (169/244) | 84% (394/470) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (21/50) | 49% (35/71) |
Passes in final third |
---|
49% (46/94) | 69% (90/130) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (2/10) | 36% (4/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.11 | 0.90 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
54% (7/13) | 75% (6/8) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 45 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.91 | 1.78 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.09 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Stewart L. ⚽, Bertone L. (A),
- 6', 1 - 1, Bahloul S. ⚽, Dickenmann M. (A),
- 31', Obexer L. ↓, Kessler R. ↑,
- 45+2', Bamert J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Montolio G. 🟨,
- 61', Janjicic V. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
- 61', Stewart L. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
- 64', Essiam E. 🟨,
- 71', Essiam E. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
- 75', Rastoder E. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
- 76', Castroman M. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Meichtry F. ⚽, Reichmuth N. (A),
- 82', Jackle O. 🟨,
- 85', Jackle O. ↓, Derbaci D. ↑,
- 85', Koide H. ↓, Bobadilla R. ↑,
- 85', Bahloul S. ↓, Toure Y. ↑,
- 86', Reichmuth N. ↓, Franke D. ↑,
- 90', Ibayi C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bertone L. 🟨,
- 90+7', Acquah D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Thun 46.6% | Draw 25.8% | Aarau 27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Thun - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.09) |
3.59 ↑ (3.48) |
3.34 ↑ (3.22) |
8.1% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Thun - Aarau?
The most likely score is 2:1.
User prediction is Thun will win! (4 of 5 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 2.
- Thun is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Aarau has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Thun is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Thun: Balaruban A.
(Muscle Injury)
Burki M.
(Inactive)
Matoshi V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tebily H.
(Injury)
Tomas M.
(Arm Injury)
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thun won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Thun won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Aarau?
Thun has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Thun?
Aarau has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Thun - Aarau were as follows:
14.02.2025
Aarau
-
Thun
1:0
30.11.2024
Thun
-
Aarau
1:1
19.07.2024
Aarau
-
Thun
1:3
19.04.2024
Aarau
-
Thun
3:0
16.02.2024
Thun
-
Aarau
1:0
Swiss Challenge League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Thun ✔ | 35 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 69:39 | 30 | 69 |
2 | Aarau ✔ | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 62:44 | 18 | 60 |
3 | Etoile-Carouge | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 58:46 | 12 | 54 |
4 | Vaduz | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 48:47 | 1 | 51 |
5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 52:43 | 9 | 50 |
6 | Wil | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 50 |
7 | Xamax | 35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Bellinzona | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 43:58 | -15 | 41 |
9 | Stade Nyonnais | 35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 43:68 | -25 | 35 |
10 | Schaffhausen ✔ | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 39:66 | -27 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super League
Aarau is Qualified for Super League (Promotion )
Schaffhausen is Relegated to Promotion League
Which TV channels are streaming of Thun - Aarau?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |