Result
2:1
09/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (308/370) | 79% (286/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (308/370) | 79% (286/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (69/110) | 62% (53/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Garrett I. ⚽, Henderlong K. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Cisneros J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mfanafikile D. ↓, McManus B. ↑,
- 56', Cerro I. 🟨,
- 58', Baker T. 🟨,
- 60', Garrett I. ↓, Ferrin A. ↑,
- 60', Cerro I. ↓, Pasnik T. ↑,
- 66', Dengler J. 🟨,
- 68', Valentine R. ↓, Jawneh L. ↑,
- 69', Spengler P. 🟨,
- 73', Prpa L. ↓, O'Connor K. ↑,
- 83', Kilwien P. ↓, Pepi D. ↑,
- 86', Torrellas M. 🟨,
- 87', Torrellas M. ↓, Bachstein D. ↑,
- 87', Glasser M. ↓, Ritondale T. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, McCormick L. ⚽, Jawneh L. (A),
Chances of winning
Naples
54.9% | Draw
23% | Texoma
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naples's performance.Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Texoma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naples that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Texoma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Naples - Texoma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.89) |
3.97 ↑
(3.8) |
4.13 ↑
(3.28) |
9.7%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
- Naples is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Texoma is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Texoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Texoma has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Naples is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naples won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Naples won against Texoma?
Naples has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Texoma won against Naples?
Texoma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naples - Texoma were as follows:
05.04.2025
Texoma
-
Naples
0:3
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔ | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 40:29 | 11 | 52 |
| 2 | One Knoxville ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 51 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity ✔ | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | FC Naples ✔ | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 44 |
| 5 | Union Omaha ✔ | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 42 |
| 6 | Portland Hearts of Pine ✔ | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 38:33 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Tormenta | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 48:46 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Charlotte Independ | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Forward Madison | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | AV Alta | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 40:45 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Greenville | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 | Texoma | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 30 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 38:52 | -14 | 26 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 40:55 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Union Omaha is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Portland Hearts of Pine is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Which TV channels are streaming of Naples - Texoma?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
