Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Mineros de Zacatecas - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Result
3:3
26/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 9
Mineros de Zacatecas - Tepatitlán de Morelos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
59
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
610
Corner Kicks
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Samano L. , Cardona U. (A),
  • 26', Venegas J. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Lopez F. , Duran L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', Garcia D. 🟨,
  • 55', De Los Rios S. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 63', Garcia D. , Ballesteros O. ,
  • 68', Aguilar D. 🟨,
  • 73', Avila J. , Rios P. ,
  • 73', Espinosa B. , Garcia A. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Lopez F. ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Ballesteros O. ,
  • 82', Lopez F. , Martinez J. ,
  • 82', Razo L. , Perez M. ,
  • 84', Samano L. , Reyes J. ,
  • 84', Mendoza A. 🟨,
  • 84', Aguilar D. , Munoz Z. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Ocon L. (Own goal),
  • 90+3', Gomez J. , Machado J. ,
  • 90+3', Aguilar M. , Lorona L. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 3, Chavez A. , Machado J. (A),

Chances of winning


Mineros de Zacatecas
54.3%
Draw
25.5%
Tepatitlán de Morelos
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 24.8% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 24.5% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mineros de Zacatecas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Mineros de Zacatecas - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.72)
    3.73
    (3.72)
    4.68
    (4.31)
    5.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Mineros de Zacatecas - Tepatitlán de Morelos?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tepatitlán will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Mineros de Zacatecas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mineros de Zacatecas is the team to beat.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Zacatecas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mineros de Zacatecas - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Mineros de Zacatecas - Tepatitlán de Morelos 1:2
    02.11.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Mineros de Zacatecas 1:1
    15.02.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Mineros de Zacatecas 1:1
    19.11.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas - Tepatitlán de Morelos 5:2
    16.11.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Mineros de Zacatecas 0:2
    Latest results of Mineros de Zacatecas
    Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampico Madero862014:8620
    2Cancun861113:21119
    3Atlante851218:81016
    4Tepatitlan de Morelos935116:9714
    5Irapuato842213:10314
    6Atletico La Paz833217:14312
    7Tlaxcala933311:16-512
    8Tapatio932413:11211
    9Venados932422:24-211
    10Atl. Morelia832311:15-411
    11Zacatecas Mineros824214:14010
    12Leones Negros823312:1209
    13Correcaminos913513:23-106
    14Alebrijes Oaxaca811610:19-94
    15Dorados de Sinaloa91086:18-123

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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