Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros UdeG: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Tepatitlán de Morelos - Leones Negros UdeG
Result
1:1
07/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 6
  • Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Leones Negros UdeG - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2913
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
84
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
2913
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
199
Corner Kicks
84
Goalkeeper Saves
39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Sanchez J. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Camacho Lastra R. E. , Lopez R. (A),
  • 31', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
  • 33', Aguilar D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Munoz Z. , Aguilar M. ,
  • 46', Chavez A. , Ruiz A. ,
  • 49', Torres U. 🟨,
  • 58', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 62', Reyes J. , Ballesteros O. ,
  • 63', Lopez R. , Flores L. ,
  • 63', Rivera E. , Fierro C. ,
  • 69', Camacho Lastra R. E. , Carreon A. ,
  • 74', Garcia B. D. O. , Lorona L. ,
  • 74', Cardona U. , Machado J. ,
  • 76', Flores B. , Valenzuela M. ,
  • 76', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. , Perez J. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Ocon L. , Ballesteros O. (A),
  • 90+3', Ballesteros O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tepatitlán de Morelos
45.9%
Draw
26.6%
Leones Negros UdeG
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 27.2% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 25.9% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Tepatitlán de Morelos - Leones Negros UdeG Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.02)
    3.46
    (3.41)
    3.34
    (3.43)
    8.6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 1.
    • Tepatitlán is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leones Negros UdeG has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Leones Negros UdeG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tepatitlán is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos 2:1
    24.04.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Leones Negros UdeG 2:1
    28.02.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Leones Negros UdeG 1:1
    15.09.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos 1:0
    10.04.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos 3:2
    Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
    Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun651011:01116
    2Tampico Madero64209:5414
    3Tepatitlan de Morelos633012:4812
    4Atl. Morelia632111:10111
    5Atlante631215:8710
    6Tapatio731311:8310
    7Irapuato631211:10110
    8Leones Negros623110:829
    9Zacatecas Mineros62318:719
    10Tlaxcala72236:12-68
    11Atletico La Paz51228:9-15
    12Venados712412:18-65
    13Correcaminos71248:15-75
    14Dorados de Sinaloa71063:13-103
    15Alebrijes Oaxaca60158:16-81

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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