Result
1:3
14/09/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Eredivisie - Round 5
- Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.17 | 1.14 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
82% (379/460) | 78% (290/372) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.17 | 1.14 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.81 | 1.72 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
82% (379/460) | 78% (290/372) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (28/58) | 37% (26/70) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (116/158) | 55% (38/69) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (7/24) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.13 | 1.13 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
92% (12/13) | 67% (12/18) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
6 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.72 | 1.81 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.28 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Gladon P. ⚽, Dahlhaus J. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
- 45', Buijs D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 🟨,
- 62', Peterson K. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
- 62', Gladon P. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
- 62', Ihattaren M. ↓, Mendes H. ↑,
- 62', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 76', Rossen N. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
- 76', Koswal D. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
- 78', Lonwijk J. ↓, Gbemou M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Aiko M. ⚽, Limnios D. (A),
- 87', Brouwer P. ↓, Ogidi Nwankwo N. ↑,
- 87', Noslin T. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Aiko M. ⚽,
- 90+1', Fosso R. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Telstar 41.9% | Draw 27.6% | Fortuna Sittard 30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+2%)
Telstar - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↓ (2.4) |
3.42 ↓ (3.48) |
3.06 ↑ (2.92) |
5.2% (4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Telstar - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Telstar (votes: 1 - 25%). Fortuna Sittard (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Telstar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Telstar: Hamdaoui M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S.
(Illness)
Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Hubner J.
(Injury)
Sierhuis K.
(Inactive)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
van Ottele S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Aiko M.
(Inactive)
Michut E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Telstar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Fortuna Sittard?
Telstar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Telstar?
Fortuna Sittard has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Telstar - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
Latest results of Telstar
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Feyenoord | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 19 |
2 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 16 |
3 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Nijmegen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 12 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Groningen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Utrecht | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 10 |
8 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Sittard | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
10 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:19 | -11 | 9 |
12 | FC Volendam | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Telstar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
14 | Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
15 | NAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
16 | Heerenveen | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
17 | Excelsior | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
18 | Heracles | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Which TV channels are streaming of Telstar - Fortuna Sittard?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Indonesia | Vidio |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |