Tatjana Maria vs Leolia Jeanjean: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Challenger Women Singles Manila Tatjana Maria - Leolia Jeanjean
Result
2:0
27/01/2026 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Manila, hard - 1/16-finals
Tatjana Maria - Leolia Jeanjean - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
60
Double Faults
25
1st serve percentage
61%72%
1st serve points won
65% (34/52)61% (43/71)
2nd serve points won
55% (18/33)32% (9/28)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)75% (12/16)
1st return points won
39% (28/71)37% (19/52)
2nd return points won
68% (19/28)45% (15/33)
Break Points Converted
25% (4/16)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
60% (50/83)53% (52/99)
Return Points Won
47% (47/99)40% (33/83)
Total Points Won
53% (97/182)47% (85/182)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
73% (8/11)64% (7/11)
Return games won
36% (4/11)27% (3/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Tatjana Maria
52%
Leolia Jeanjean
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tatjana Maria's form might have worsened.
  • Leolia Jeanjean has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leolia Jeanjean's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tatjana Maria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leolia Jeanjean than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leolia Jeanjean, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tatjana Maria - Leolia Jeanjean Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.4)

    1.96
    (2.75)
    7%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Tatjana Maria - Leolia Jeanjean?
    • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Maria will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Jeanjean will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Maria: 19%81%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Maria (votes: 3 - 60%). Jeanjean (votes: 2 - 40%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • AH -0.5 Games - Maria (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Maria (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Jeanjean (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Maria is ranked WTA: 42. Jeanjean is ranked WTA: 103.
    • Recent performances by Maria have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jeanjean has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Jeanjean may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maria won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tatjana Maria - Leolia Jeanjean were as follows:
    01.10.2025 Leolia Jeanjean - Tatjana Maria 0:2
    26.01.2025 Tatjana Maria - Leolia Jeanjean 2:1
    Latest results of Tatjana Maria
    04.12.2025 Tatjana Maria - Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Reasco Gonzalez M. E. walkover
    Latest results of Leolia Jeanjean
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Jeanjean L.2 : 0
    2Emana K. A. (WC)Prozorova T.0 : 2
    3Costoulas S.Morvayova V. (Q)2 : 1
    4Ma Y.Semenistaja D. (8)2 : 0
    5Vekic D. (4)Okamura K.2 : 0
    6Saito S.Tkacheva M.0 : 2
    7Madis T. (WC)Sawangkaew M.0 : 2
    8Zhu L.Sun L. (6)2 : 0
    9Waltert S. (7)Tararudee L.1 : 2
    10Kudermetova P.Kuramochi M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Plipuech P. (Q)Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2
    12Garland J.Sierra S. (3)0 : 2
    13Osorio C. (5)Hosogi S. (Q)2 : 0
    14Abarquez E. (WC)Hontama M.0 : 2
    15Hibino N.Sakatsume H.0 : 2
    16Charaeva A.Eala A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Prozorova T.0 : 2
    2Costoulas S.Ma Y.2 : 0
    3Vekic D. (4)Tkacheva M.2 : 0
    4Sawangkaew M.Zhu L.0 : 2
    5Tararudee L.Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    6Starodubtseva Y.Sierra S. (3)0 : 2
    7Osorio C. (5)Hontama M.2 : 1
    8Sakatsume H.Eala A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Prozorova T.Costoulas S.2 : 1
    2Vekic D. (4)Zhu L.2 : 0
    3Tararudee L.Sierra S. (3)0 : 2
    4Osorio C. (5)Eala A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Prozorova T.Vekic D. (4)0 : 2
    2Sierra S. (3)Osorio C. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Vekic D. (4)Osorio C. (5)1 : 2
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