Taranaki vs Hawkes Bay: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Taranaki - Hawkes Bay
19/09/2025 at 03:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bunnings NPC
Taranaki - Hawkes Bay - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Taranaki
59.4%
Draw
4.1%
Hawkes Bay
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 3.6% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 4% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Taranaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taranaki's performance.
  • Hawkes Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawkes Bay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranaki than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Taranaki - Hawkes Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.78)
    22.5
    (26)
    2.56
    (2.08)
    7.2%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 56.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taranaki won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Taranaki could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Taranaki will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Taranaki won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 365:275. (average 33.2:25).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Taranaki won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 188:116. (average 31.3:19.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Taranaki - Hawkes Bay were as follows:
    20.09.2024 Hawkes Bay - Taranaki 19:63
    20.10.2023 Taranaki - Hawkes Bay 22:19
    Latest results of Taranaki
    13.09.2025 Otago - Taranaki 28:26
    06.09.2025 Taranaki - Bay of Plenty 17:43
    29.08.2025 Counties Manukau - Taranaki 22:43
    22.08.2025 Taranaki - Waikato 22:23
    16.08.2025 Auckland - Taranaki 8:50
    Latest results of Hawkes Bay
    12.09.2025 Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay FRO
    05.09.2025 Hawkes Bay - Wellington 45:19
    30.08.2025 Northland - Hawkes Bay 27:21
    22.08.2025 Hawkes Bay - Canterbury 7:26
    16.08.2025 Hawkes Bay - North Harbour 36:22
    New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Canterbury7700237:9729
    2Hawke's Bay7502215:15022
    3Otago7502208:16922
    4Bay of Plenty7403191:12820
    5Taranaki7403227:15119
    6Tasman7403204:17418
    7Waikato7403175:20718
    8Northland7403162:16916
    9Manawatu7304194:26214
    10Southland7304140:22113
    11Auckland7205180:23411
    12Counties Manukau7205189:22510
    13Wellington7205200:24610
    14North Harbour7007144:2333

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    It is being streamed on channel
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