Hawkes Bay vs Taranaki: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Hawkes Bay - Taranaki
11/10/2025 at 02:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bunnings NPC - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Hawkes Bay - Taranaki - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Hawkes Bay
54.8%
Draw
4.2%
Taranaki
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 4.4% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 4.5% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hawkes Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Taranaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranaki than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Hawkes Bay - Taranaki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.64)
    23
    (21)
    2.21
    (2.36)
    9.1%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 1.
    • Hawkes Bay is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Taranaki has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Taranaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Hawkes Bay might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Hawkes Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 299:403. (average 24.9:33.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 159:177. (average 31.8:35.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hawkes Bay - Taranaki were as follows:
    19.09.2025 Taranaki - Hawkes Bay 38:24
    20.09.2024 Hawkes Bay - Taranaki 19:63
    20.10.2023 Taranaki - Hawkes Bay 22:19
    Latest results of Hawkes Bay
    04.10.2025 Manawatu - Hawkes Bay 10:38
    25.09.2025 Hawkes Bay - Auckland 45:28
    19.09.2025 Taranaki - Hawkes Bay 38:24
    12.09.2025 Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay FRO
    05.09.2025 Hawkes Bay - Wellington 45:19
    Latest results of Taranaki
    04.10.2025 Canterbury - Taranaki 34:14
    26.09.2025 Taranaki - Wellington 39:20
    19.09.2025 Taranaki - Hawkes Bay 38:24
    13.09.2025 Otago - Taranaki 28:26
    06.09.2025 Taranaki - Bay of Plenty 17:43
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Hawkes Bay - Taranaki?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports+
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