Tlaxcala vs Tapatío: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Tlaxcala - Tapatío
Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Barba A. (Mex)
Tlaxcala - Tapatío - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
20
Shots on target
20
Corner Kicks
414
Yellow Cards
54
Total shots
20
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
414
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Mendez F. 🟨,
  • 37', Castaneda S. 🟨,
  • 39', Aguayo S. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 0, Rojas H. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Inda C. , Latorre D. ,
  • 46', Mendez F. , Villegas A. ,
  • 46', Torres C. , Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ,
  • 60', Salomon O. , Zaragoza A. ,
  • 60', Sandoval E. , Guerrero H. ,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 70', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. , Buganza F. ,
  • 71', Rojas H. , Castillo E. ,
  • 71', Villaseca D. , Castro A. ,
  • 71', Freyfeld E. , Tellez B. ,
  • 79', Plascencia F. 🟨,
  • 82', Zamora S. 🟨,
  • 84', Tejeda D. , Solis E. ,
  • 90+6', Guerrero H. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Delgadillo D. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Solis E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tlaxcala
40.6%
Draw
27%
Tapatío
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 27% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 27% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Tlaxcala - Tapatío Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.27)
    3.41
    (3.42)
    2.85
    (2.88)
    8.5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 0.
    • Tlaxcala is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tapatío has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tlaxcala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Tapatío were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Tapatío - Tlaxcala 1:0
    21.09.2024 Tlaxcala - Tapatío 2:3
    12.03.2024 Tlaxcala - Tapatío 0:3
    24.08.2023 Tapatío - Tlaxcala 2:0
    06.05.2023 Tapatío - Tlaxcala 1:1
    Latest results of Tlaxcala
    16.08.2025 Irapuato - Tlaxcala 3:0
    09.08.2025 Cancún - Tlaxcala 3:0
    Latest results of Tapatío
    06.09.2025 Jaiba Brava - Tapatío 2:1
    29.08.2025 Tapatío - Atlante 3:0
    08.08.2025 Venados - Tapatío 1:3
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampico Madero64209:5414
    2Cancun541010:01013
    3Tepatitlan de Morelos633012:4812
    4Tapatio731311:8310
    5Irapuato631211:10110
    6Leones Negros623110:829
    7Zacatecas Mineros62318:719
    8Atl. Morelia52219:908
    9Tlaxcala72236:12-68
    10Atlante521212:847
    11Atletico La Paz51228:9-15
    12Venados612312:17-55
    13Correcaminos71248:15-75
    14Dorados de Sinaloa61052:11-93
    15Alebrijes Oaxaca50148:13-51

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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