Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Barba A. (Mex)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
2 | 0 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 14 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 4 |
Total shots |
---|
2 | 0 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 14 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Mendez F. 🟨,
- 37', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 39', Aguayo S. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Rojas H. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Inda C. ↓, Latorre D. ↑,
- 46', Mendez F. ↓, Villegas A. ↑,
- 46', Torres C. ↓, Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
- 60', Salomon O. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
- 60', Sandoval E. ↓, Guerrero H. ↑,
- 68', 🟨,
- 70', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. ↓, Buganza F. ↑,
- 71', Rojas H. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
- 71', Villaseca D. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 71', Freyfeld E. ↓, Tellez B. ↑,
- 79', Plascencia F. 🟨,
- 82', Zamora S. 🟨,
- 84', Tejeda D. ↓, Solis E. ↑,
- 90+6', Guerrero H. 🟨,
- 90+6', Delgadillo D. 🟨,
- 90+10', Solis E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala 40.6% | Draw 27% | Tapatío 32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Tlaxcala - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 (2.27) |
3.41 ↓ (3.42) |
2.85 ↓ (2.88) |
8.5% (8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 0.
- Tlaxcala is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tapatío has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tlaxcala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Tapatío?
Tlaxcala has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Tlaxcala?
Tapatío has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Tapatío were as follows:
09.03.2025
Tapatío
-
Tlaxcala
1:0
21.09.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Tapatío
2:3
12.03.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Tapatío
0:3
24.08.2023
Tapatío
-
Tlaxcala
2:0
06.05.2023
Tapatío
-
Tlaxcala
1:1
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Latest results of Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tampico Madero | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
2 | Cancun | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 13 |
3 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 12 |
4 | Tapatio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Irapuato | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
6 | Leones Negros | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Zacatecas Mineros | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Atl. Morelia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
9 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
10 | Atlante | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 7 |
11 | Atletico La Paz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
12 | Venados | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12:17 | -5 | 5 |
13 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
14 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
15 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Tlaxcala - Tapatío?
It is being streamed on various channels, including: