Celaya vs Tapatío: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Celaya - Tapatío
Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)
Celaya - Tapatío - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
112
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
117
Corner Kicks
112
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', Manriquez S. 🟨,
  • 37', Aguayo S. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Del Angel E. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Manriquez S. 🟨,
  • 63', Guajardo D. 🟨,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 67', Guajardo D. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
  • 67', Torres C. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
  • 68', Barragan M. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
  • 74', Garcia G. ↓, Villaseca D. ↑,
  • 74', Zamora S. ↓, Cendejas M. ↑,
  • 78', Baltazar C. ↓, Recalde B. ↑,
  • 79', Gamboa J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
  • 85', Aguayo S. ↓, Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ↑,
  • 85', Hernandez P. ↓, Luna E. G. ↑,

Chances of winning


Celaya
53.8%		Draw
25.3%		Tapatío
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.1% 20.3% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5% 21.7% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celaya's form might have worsened.
  • Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tapatío's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tapatío, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Celaya - Tapatío Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.72 ↑
    (1.44)    		 3.66 ↓
    (4.55)    		 4.43 ↓
    (5.93)    		 7.9%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Celaya - Tapatío?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Celaya is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 1.
    • Recent matches Celaya is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tapatío is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tapatío could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Celaya is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Celaya won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:18 (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Celaya - Tapatío were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Tapatío - Celaya 3:2
    20.11.2024 Celaya - Tapatío 1:2
    01.11.2024 Tapatío - Celaya 1:1
    27.04.2024 Tapatío - Celaya 2:0
    24.04.2024 Celaya - Tapatío 4:3
    Latest results of Celaya
    12.04.2025 Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG 2:3
    05.04.2025 Tlaxcala - Celaya 0:3
    29.03.2025 Celaya - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3:0
    22.03.2025 Cancún - Celaya 1:1
    15.03.2025 Jaiba Brava - Celaya 0:0
    Latest results of Tapatío
    11.04.2025 Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT 4:0
    05.04.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:2
    19.03.2025 Tapatío - Atlante 1:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Tapatío - Tlaxcala 1:0
    05.03.2025 Venados - Tapatío 4:2 ✺
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Leones Negros (1)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)2 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Atlante (2)Atl. Morelia (7)2 : 3, 0 : 0
    3Zacatecas Mineros (3)Venados (6)2 : 0, 0 : 2
    4Celaya (4)Tampico Madero (5)0 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Leones Negros (1)Atl. Morelia (7)2 : 0, 0 : 2
    2Zacatecas Mineros (3)Tampico Madero (5)0 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Leones Negros (1)Tampico Madero (5)1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Celaya - Tapatío?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
    peruPeruDisney+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldDisney+
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