Leones Negros UdeG vs Jaiba Brava: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava
Result
2:0 penalties
24/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Final
Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
142
Yellow Cards
44
Total shots
197
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
145
Corner Kicks
142
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
  • 28', Flores B. 🟨,
  • 29', Magana D. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Garza A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 🟨,
  • 46', Flores B. , Perez J. ,
  • 46', Fierro C. , Munoz D. ,
  • 66', Magana D. , Engelhart Mora C. A. ,
  • 66', Perez E. , Santacruz J. ,
  • 69', Bocco L. , Ramos Saucedo S. ,
  • 72', Organista A. , Rivera E. ,
  • 76', Soto O. , Gonzalez R. ,
  • 76', Garza A. , Lopez R. ,
  • 80', Ramos Saucedo S. 🟨,
  • 84', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. , Flores L. ,
  • 84', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. , Aguayo J. ,
  • 88', Dominguez R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Ledesma A. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 95', Ledesma A. , Carreon A. ,
  • 114', Sanchez J. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Santacruz J. (Pen),
  • 1, Torres E. (Pen),
  • 2, Lopez R. (Pen),
  • 2, Rivera E. (Pen),
  • 3, Escoboza A. (Pen),
  • 3, Aguayo J. (Pen),
  • 4, Garcia D. (Pen),
  • 4, Munoz D. (Pen),
  • 5, Ruiz G. (Pen),
  • 5, Sanchez J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leones Negros UdeG
50.8%
Draw
26.7%
Jaiba Brava
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 29.1% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 31.6% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.87)
    3.47
    (3.2)
    4.14
    (4.39)
    7.7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava?
  • Users Predictions: Leones Negros UdeG will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 0.
    • Leones Negros UdeG has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jaiba Brava is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Leones Negros UdeG is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG 2:1
    06.04.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava 1:2
    19.10.2024 Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG 3:2
    Latest results of Jaiba Brava
    Draw
    Super final

    Final
    1TapatioLeones Negros2 : 1, 1 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4, FOX Sports 2, Fox Sports, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes 2, TVC Deportes
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
    peruPeruDisney+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    worldWorldPluto TV
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