Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island
Result
0:3
17/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Osmanovic E. (Usa)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.54
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
82% (292/358)87% (439/504)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.350.86
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
1910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
82% (292/358)87% (439/504)
Long passes
47% (21/45)51% (33/65)
Passes in final third
74% (67/90)74% (99/134)
Crosses
24% (4/17)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.45
Throw-ins
1015
Fouls
1511
Tackles
61% (11/18)100% (8/8)
Duels won
4234
Clearances
1424
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.860.35
Goals prevented
-2.140.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Lasso F. 🟨,
  • 21', Wyke L. 🟨,
  • 39', Kwizera J. , Shapiro-Thompson A. ,
  • 45+5', 0 - 1, Holstad C. , Stoneman G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 58', Mustali E. , Arteaga M. ,
  • 58', Bodily B. , Skinner J. ,
  • 68', Dikwa A. , Brito J. ,
  • 68', Mabika A. , Hope-Gund R. ,
  • 70', Crisostomo D. , Moon N. ,
  • 73', 0 - 2, Herivaux Z. , Rodriguez M. (A),
  • 78', Wyke L. 🟨,
  • 84', Vancaeyezeele T. , Worth N. ,
  • 84', Rodriguez M. , Okiyoshi T. ,
  • 87', 0 - 3, Fuson N. , Sanchez A. (A),
  • 90', Herivaux Z. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Shapiro-Thompson A. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Rowdies
39.3%
Draw
26.5%
Rhode Island
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 26.9% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 26.2% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rhode Island, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.14)
    3.47
    (3.43)
    2.7
    (3.1)
    8.6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Tampa Bay is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Rhode Island has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rhode Island may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Rhode Island - Tampa Bay Rowdies 3:1
    30.03.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island 4:1
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Latest results of Rhode Island
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City18125134:142041
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1782726:24226
    5Pittsburgh1875617:15226
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1755727:31-420
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1947822:28-619
    10Tampa Bay17521020:26-617
    11Rhode Island1845914:20-617
    12Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1783624:24027
    3Sacramento Republic1776425:131227
    4El Paso1775530:25526
    5New Mexico1681722:21125
    6Phoenix Rising1866630:33-324
    7Orange County SC1672726:23323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights18531013:34-2118

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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