Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Trinity Health Stadium (East Hartford, CT).

: USL Championship

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.09	0.34
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
14	4
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
79% (290/365)	77% (232/302)
Yellow Cards
0	4
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09	0.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.02	0.71
Total shots
14	4
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
11	3
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
26	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
12	7
Passes
79% (290/365)	77% (232/302)
Long passes
46% (26/57)	60% (32/53)
Passes in final third
67% (82/123)	62% (49/79)
Crosses
36% (10/28)	8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.29	0.33
Throw-ins
22	25
Fouls
7	12
Tackles
45% (5/11)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
42	39
Clearances
17	45
Interceptions
12	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.71	1.02
Goals prevented
-0.29	0.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Fernandes L. 🟨,
57', Fernandes L. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
58', Arteaga M. ↓, Pacius W. ↑,
58', Bassett O. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
62', Jimenez J. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
62', Beckford D. ↓, Obalola A. ↑,
77', Hairston M. ↓, Makangila B. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽, Hilton L. (A),
86', Presthus T. ↓, Diz A. ↑,
90+1', Wyke L. 🟨,
90+3', Hilton L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Hartford Athletic
40.5%

Draw
27.2%

Tampa Bay Rowdies
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

27.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

27.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartford Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.59)	3.39 ↑ (3.35)	2.85 ↑ (2.53)	8.6% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Hartford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Hartford has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Hartford Athletic has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Hartford Athletic?

Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:

23.10.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic 2:2

21.06.2024 Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:1

27.09.2023 Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:2

02.09.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic 2:1

Latest results of Hartford Athletic

12.07.2025 Detroit City - Hartford Athletic 1:2 ✺

28.06.2025 Hartford Athletic - Detroit City 2:3 ✺

20.06.2025 Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United 3:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Hartford Athletic - Charleston Battery 1:2 ✺

06.06.2025 Hartford Athletic - North Carolina 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies

12.07.2025 San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:0 ✺

04.07.2025 Naples - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:2 ✺

25.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven 3:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 2:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	27	20	6	1	54:19	35	66
2	Charleston ✔	26	17	4	5	54:29	25	55
3	Hartford Athletic	27	12	5	10	43:30	13	41
4	North Carolina ✔	28	12	5	11	39:39	0	41
5	Loudoun	27	11	6	10	43:45	-2	39
6	Pittsburgh	27	10	7	10	27:27	0	37
7	Detroit	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35
8	Rhode Island	27	9	7	11	23:27	-4	34
9	Indy Eleven	27	9	5	13	40:47	-7	32
10	Tampa Bay	27	8	6	13	39:42	-3	30
11	Birmingham	28	5	12	11	33:45	-12	27
12	Miami FC	27	6	6	15	25:41	-16	24

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	27	14	8	5	44:29	15	50
2	Sacramento Republic ✔	26	12	8	6	39:21	18	44
3	New Mexico ✔	27	13	4	10	37:34	3	43
4	San Antonio	26	10	7	9	34:32	2	37
5	El Paso	27	9	10	8	42:38	4	37
6	Phoenix Rising	28	8	12	8	47:48	-1	36
7	Lexington	27	9	8	10	28:35	-7	35
8	Colorado Springs	27	9	7	11	34:39	-5	34
9	Orange County SC	26	8	7	11	38:41	-3	31
10	Monterey Bay	28	7	7	14	26:41	-15	28
11	Oakland Roots	27	7	6	14	34:47	-13	27
12	Las Vegas Lights	27	6	7	14	20:46	-26	25

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Which TV channels are streaming of Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+