Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Result
0:1
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.34
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
79% (290/365)77% (232/302)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.020.71
Total shots
144
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
127
Passes
79% (290/365)77% (232/302)
Long passes
46% (26/57)60% (32/53)
Passes in final third
67% (82/123)62% (49/79)
Crosses
36% (10/28)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.33
Throw-ins
2225
Fouls
712
Tackles
45% (5/11)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4239
Clearances
1745
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.711.02
Goals prevented
-0.290.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Fernandes L. 🟨,
  • 57', Fernandes L. , Skinner J. ,
  • 58', Arteaga M. , Pacius W. ,
  • 58', Bassett O. , Moon N. ,
  • 62', Jimenez J. , Careaga S. ,
  • 62', Beckford D. , Obalola A. ,
  • 77', Hairston M. , Makangila B. ,
  • 83', 0 - 1, Pacius W. , Hilton L. (A),
  • 86', Presthus T. , Diz A. ,
  • 90+1', Wyke L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hilton L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hartford Athletic
40.5%
Draw
27.2%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 27.6% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 27.2% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartford Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.59)
    3.39
    (3.35)
    2.85
    (2.53)
    8.6%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Hartford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hartford has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic 2:2
    21.06.2024 Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:1
    27.09.2023 Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:2
    02.09.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic 2:1
    Latest results of Hartford Athletic
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City18125134:142041
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1782726:24226
    5Pittsburgh1875617:15226
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1755727:31-420
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1947822:28-619
    10Tampa Bay17521020:26-617
    11Rhode Island1845914:20-617
    12Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1783624:24027
    3Sacramento Republic1776425:131227
    4El Paso1775530:25526
    5New Mexico1681722:21125
    6Phoenix Rising1866630:33-324
    7Orange County SC1672726:23323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights18531013:34-2118

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