Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL
Result
3:4 OT
09/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Additional information

  • : NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2831
Shots off target
2615
Shooting PCT
10.71% (3/28)12.9% (4/31)
Blocked Shots
3315
Goalkeeper Saves
2725
Saves PCT
87.1% (27/31)89.29% (25/28)
Penalties
36
PIM
1115
Power-play Goals
21
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (2/6)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)66.67% (4/6)
Hits
2518
Faceoffs Won
2031
Faceoffs %
39.2260.78
Giveaways
1312
Takeaways
64
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 01:13, 0 - 1, Marner M. (G), Matthews A. (A),
  • 03:33, 0 - 2, Knies M. (G), Matthews A. (A), Marner M. (A2)
  • 03:42, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • 18:58, 1 - 2, Perbix N. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 19:01, Laughton S. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:50, 2 - 2, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Hedman V. (A2)
  • 01:18, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
  • 02:02, 2 - 3, Knies M. (G), Tavares J. (A), Marner M. (A2)
  • 03:24, Cernak E. (2 min),
  • 03:24, Knies M. (2 min),
  • 03:38, Domi M. (2 min),
  • 09:25, McMann B. (5 min),
  • 09:25, Point B. (5 min),
  • 09:25, Robertson N. (2 min),
  • 11:05, 3 - 3, Hedman V. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 02:56, 3 - 4, Knies M. (G), Matthews A. (A), Rielly M. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning 50.2%Draw 21.5%Toronto Maple Leafs 28.3%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Tampa Bay Lightning 42.4%Draw 22.5%Toronto Maple Leafs 35.1%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Tampa Bay Lightning 42.8%Draw 22.7%Toronto Maple Leafs 34.8%

Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.89 ↓
(2.25)		 4.44 ↑
(4.24)		 3.31 ↑
(2.72)		 5.7%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

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  • Network on : FanDuel Sports Network Sun
    •
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs?
    The most likely score is 3:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • Tampa Bay is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    • Toronto is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 2.
    • Recent matches Tampa Bay is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Toronto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Toronto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Tampa Bay have a series of guest games.
    • Tampa Bay will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Hakanpaa J. (Lower-Body Injury) Kampf D. (Upper-Body Injury) McCabe J. (Injury) Pacioretty M. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 71:75 (average 3.6:3.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 38:37 (average 3.8:3.7).
    How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
    Tampa Bay Lightning has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
    How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
    Toronto Maple Leafs has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    20.01.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:3
    30.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:5
    21.10.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:2
    17.04.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:4
    03.04.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:4
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    07.04.2025 New York Rangers - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:5 ✺
    05.04.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2 ✺
    03.04.2025 Ottawa Senators - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1 ✺
    01.04.2025 New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:4 ✺
    29.03.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Islanders 5:3 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    08.04.2025 Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Columbus Blue Jackets 5:0 ✺
    02.04.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Florida Panthers 3:2 ✺
    30.03.2025 Anaheim Ducks - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:3 ✺
    29.03.2025 Los Angeles Kings - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:3 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Winnipeg Jets ✔ 794311421269:182112
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 79419623269:208106
    3Vegas Golden Knights ✔ 79444922262:210105
    4Colorado Avalanche ✔ 80399428269:227100
    5Los Angeles Kings ✔ 78405924233:19299
    6Edmonton Oilers793412528252:23097
    7Minnesota Wild793310729220:23193
    8St. Louis Blues803112730245:22893
    9Calgary Flames782891427206:22988
    10Vancouver Canucks792891329231:24587
    11Utah792881330228:23985
    12Anaheim Ducks792411836216:25478
    13Seattle Kraken80286640238:25674
    14Nashville Predators79236842203:26166
    15Chicago Blackhawks792031046214:28556
    16San Jose Sharks791461148207:30551


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Washington Capitals ✔ 78428919282:215109
    2Toronto Maple Leafs ✔ 78399426255:227100
    3Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 79396826282:21098
    4Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 78415527251:21597
    5Florida Panthers ✔ 79379429245:21196
    6Ottawa Senators ✔ 79349630229:22292
    7New Jersey Devils ✔ 79365731235:21289
    8Montreal Canadiens792910931238:25887
    9Columbus Blue Jackets782610933253:26681
    10New York Rangers79334735244:24581
    11Detroit Red Wings79289735224:24981
    12New York Islanders782771133218:24779
    13Pittsburgh Penguins8023101235237:28778
    14Buffalo Sabres78287637258:27176
    15Philadelphia Flyers782111937227:27173
    16Boston Bruins80257939214:26673

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Winnipeg Jets is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Vegas Golden Knights is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Kings is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Washington Capitals is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Toronto Maple Leafs is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Florida Panthers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Ottawa Senators is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    New Jersey Devils is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs?
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