Result
3:4 OT
09/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10.71% (3/28) | 12.9% (4/31) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 33 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 87.1% (27/31) | 89.29% (25/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (2/6) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 66.67% (4/6) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 39.22 | 60.78 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 01:13, 0 - 1, Marner M. (G), Matthews A. (A),
- 03:33, 0 - 2, Knies M. (G), Matthews A. (A), Marner M. (A2)
- 03:42, Tavares J. (2 min),
- 18:58, 1 - 2, Perbix N. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 19:01, Laughton S. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:50, 2 - 2, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Hedman V. (A2)
- 01:18, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
- 02:02, 2 - 3, Knies M. (G), Tavares J. (A), Marner M. (A2)
- 03:24, Cernak E. (2 min),
- 03:24, Knies M. (2 min),
- 03:38, Domi M. (2 min),
- 09:25, McMann B. (5 min),
- 09:25, Point B. (5 min),
- 09:25, Robertson N. (2 min),
- 11:05, 3 - 3, Hedman V. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 02:56, 3 - 4, Knies M. (G), Matthews A. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Lightning
50.2% | Draw
21.5% | Toronto Maple Leafs
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Maple Leafs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Maple Leafs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(2.25) |
4.44 ↑
(4.24) |
3.31 ↑
(2.72) |
5.7%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
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What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- Tampa Bay is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
- Toronto is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 2.
- Recent matches Tampa Bay is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Toronto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Toronto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Tampa Bay have a series of guest games.
- Tampa Bay will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Hakanpaa J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kampf D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
McCabe J.
(Injury)
Pacioretty M.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 71:75 (average 3.6:3.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 38:37 (average 3.8:3.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
20.01.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
5:3
30.11.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:5
21.10.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
5:2
17.04.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
6:4
03.04.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
1:4
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Winnipeg Jets (1) | St. Louis Blues (8) | 4 : 3 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (3) | Colorado Avalanche (5) | 4 : 3 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (2) | Minnesota Wild (7) | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Kings (4) | Edmonton Oilers (6) | 2 : 4 |
| 5 | Washington Capitals (1) | Montreal Canadiens (8) | 4 : 1 |
| 6 | Carolina Hurricanes (4) | New Jersey Devils (7) | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Toronto Maple Leafs (2) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Florida Panthers (5) | 1 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Winnipeg Jets (1) | Dallas Stars (3) | 2 : 4 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights (2) | Edmonton Oilers (6) | 1 : 4 |
| 3 | Washington Capitals (1) | Carolina Hurricanes (4) | 1 : 4 |
| 4 | Toronto Maple Leafs (2) | Florida Panthers (5) | 3 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dallas Stars (3) | Edmonton Oilers (6) | 1 : 4 |
| 2 | Carolina Hurricanes (4) | Florida Panthers (5) | 1 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Edmonton Oilers (6) | Florida Panthers (5) | 2 : 4 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 France | beIN Sports 2 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Disney+, Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
