Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings
Result
3:4 OT
11/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2126
Shots off target
1621
Shooting PCT
14.29% (3/21)15.38% (4/26)
Blocked Shots
1815
Goalkeeper Saves
2218
Saves PCT
84.62% (22/26)85.71% (18/21)
Penalties
10
PIM
20
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/0)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (0/0)
Hits
1721
Faceoffs Won
2534
Faceoffs %
42.3757.63
Giveaways
2819
Takeaways
33
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 01:01, 1 - 0, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 06:53, McDonagh R. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 04:07, 1 - 1, Kane P. (G),
  • 16:37, 1 - 2, Motte T. (G), Holl J. (A), Lagesson W. (A2)
  • 17:48, 2 - 2, Goncalves G. (G),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:38, 3 - 2, Goncalves G. (G), Hagel B. (A), Cirelli A. (A2)
  • 12:59, 3 - 3, Kasper M. (G), DeBrincat A. (A), Kane P. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 02:20, 3 - 4, Kasper M. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
60.5%
Draw
19.6%
Detroit Red Wings
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 20% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 19.4% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Detroit Red Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.71)
    4.82
    (4.77)
    4.77
    (3.95)
    5.7%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

  • Watch this match and NHL with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FanDuel Sports Network Detroit Extra
  • What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Tampa Bay Lightning will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Tampa Bay is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Tampa Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Tampa Bay have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Tampa Bay is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Guentzel J. (Personal Reasons)
    • There will not play in Detroit: Copp A. (Chest Injury) Gustafsson E. (Injury) Mazur C. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Glendening L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Detroit: Mrazek P. (Head Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 60:58 (average 3:2.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:20 (average 2.9:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:6
    25.01.2025 Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:0
    18.01.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings 5:1
    01.04.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings 2:4
    21.01.2024 Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche110004:12
    2Anaheim Ducks000000:00
    3Winnipeg Jets000000:00
    4Calgary Flames000000:00
    5Dallas Stars000000:00
    6Edmonton Oilers000000:00
    7Minnesota Wild000000:00
    8Nashville Predators000000:00
    9San Jose Sharks000000:00
    10St. Louis Blues000000:00
    11Vancouver Canucks000000:00
    12Vegas Golden Knights000000:00
    13Seattle Kraken000000:00
    14Utah Mammoth000000:00
    15Chicago Blackhawks100012:30
    16Los Angeles Kings100011:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Pittsburgh Penguins110003:02
    2Florida Panthers110003:22
    3Detroit Red Wings000000:00
    4Boston Bruins000000:00
    5Buffalo Sabres000000:00
    6Carolina Hurricanes000000:00
    7Columbus Blue Jackets000000:00
    8Montreal Canadiens000000:00
    9New Jersey Devils000000:00
    10New York Islanders000000:00
    11Ottawa Senators000000:00
    12Philadelphia Flyers000000:00
    13Tampa Bay Lightning000000:00
    14Toronto Maple Leafs000000:00
    15Washington Capitals000000:00
    16New York Rangers100010:30

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

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