Result
24/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Tacuarembó
15.4% | Draw
24% | Peñarol de Montevideo
60.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Tacuarembó - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.95 ↑
(5) |
3.82 ↓
(3.99) |
1.51 ↑
(1.5) |
9.2%
(11.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Tacuarembó has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peñarol is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tacuarembó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Peñarol is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Tacuarembó won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Tacuarembó won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Tacuarembó has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Tacuarembó?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tacuarembó - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
Latest results of Tacuarembó
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Atletico Arsenal | Oriental | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Libertad San Carlos | Defensor Sp. | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Bella Vista | Juventud | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Nacional NH | Central Esp. | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Rincon | Cerro Largo | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | San Carlos | Tacuarembo | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Rio Negro SJ | Penarol | 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Durazno | Liverpool M. | 1 : 3 |
| 9 | Wanderers Durazno | Plaza Colonia | 2 : 3 |
| 10 | Huracan FC | Nacional | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Porongos | Maldonado | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Paysandu FC | Albion | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Paso de la Arena | Boston River | 0 : 3 |
| 14 | Atenas Tala | Racing Montevideo | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | CA Florida | Atenas | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | Universitario Salto | Wanderers | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Oriental | Defensor Sp. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Bella Vista | Central Esp. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Cerro Largo | Tacuarembo | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Penarol | Liverpool M. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Plaza Colonia | Nacional | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Porongos | Albion | 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | CA Florida | Universitario Salto | 0 : 7 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Defensor Sp. | Central Esp. | |
| 2 | Tacuarembo | Penarol | |
| 3 | Plaza Colonia | Albion | |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | Universitario Salto | |
Semi-finalsFinal
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It is being streamed on various channels, including:
