Tacuarembó vs Peñarol de Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Uruguay Copa Tacuarembó - Peñarol de Montevideo
Result
1:2
24/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Uruguay - Quarter-finals
Tacuarembó - Peñarol de Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Machado L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 78', 1 - 1, Umpierrez L. ,
  • 90+12', 1 - 2, David Terans ,
  • 90+17', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Tacuarembó
18%
Draw
25.8%
Peñarol de Montevideo
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.9% 22.4% 59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7% 22.1% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacuarembó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Tacuarembó - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.13
    (5)
    3.58
    (3.99)
    1.65
    (1.5)
    8.2%
    (11.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Tacuarembó has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Peñarol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Peñarol is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tacuarembó won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Tacuarembó
    14.09.2025 Artigas - Tacuarembó 1:1
    10.09.2025 Cerro Largo - Tacuarembó 0:1
    07.09.2025 Rentistas - Tacuarembó 3:1
    30.08.2025 Tacuarembó - La Luz 1:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Atletico ArsenalOriental0 : 1
    2Libertad San CarlosDefensor Sp.0 : 3
    3Bella VistaJuventud1 : 0
    4Nacional NHCentral Esp.1 : 3
    5RinconCerro Largo1 : 2
    6San CarlosTacuarembo1 : 2
    7Rio Negro SJPenarol0 : 3
    8DuraznoLiverpool M.1 : 3
    9Paso de la ArenaBoston River0 : 3
    10Atenas TalaRacing Montevideo0 : 1
    11CA FloridaAtenas3 : 1
    12Universitario SaltoWanderers2 : 0
    13Wanderers DuraznoPlaza Colonia2 : 3
    14Huracan FCNacional1 : 2
    15PorongosMaldonado3 : 2
    16Paysandu FCAlbion0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1OrientalDefensor Sp.0 : 2
    2Bella VistaCentral Esp.1 : 2
    3Cerro LargoTacuarembo0 : 1
    4PenarolLiverpool M.2 : 1
    5Boston RiverRacing Montevideo0 : 1
    6CA FloridaUniversitario Salto0 : 7
    7Plaza ColoniaNacional2 : 1
    8PorongosAlbion0 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Defensor Sp.Central Esp.2 : 0
    2TacuaremboPenarol1 : 2
    3Racing MontevideoUniversitario Salto4 : 1
    4Plaza ColoniaAlbion1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Defensor Sp.Penarol
    2Racing MontevideoPlaza Colonia

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Tacuarembó - Peñarol de Montevideo?
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