The Town vs Tacoma Defiance: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

PayPal Park (San Jose, CA).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	0.92
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
86% (429/496)	81% (294/364)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	0.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.66	0.44
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
3	10
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
15	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	1
Free Kicks
16	9
Passes
86% (429/496)	81% (294/364)
Long passes
53% (31/58)	38% (15/39)
Passes in final third
71% (103/145)	79% (81/103)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.67	1.02
Throw-ins
28	18
Fouls
9	16
Tackles
80% (8/10)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
33	43
Clearances
12	32
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.44	0.66
Goals prevented
0.44	0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', Adimabua N. 🟥,
45+4', 0 - 1, Gaffney C. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Dodzi C. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
51', Lopez A. 🟨,
57', Ricketts J. 🟨,
59', Rodriguez M. ↓, Lynch R. ↑,
59', Cowell C. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
59', Fernandez N. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
63', Gaffney C. ↓, Veillard E. ↑,
71', Spivey K. ↓, Rajagopal R. ↑,
74', Carli E. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
82', Ibarra R. ↓, Baptista D. ↑,
86', Medina C. 🟨,
90+4', Veillard E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

The Town
67%

Draw
18.1%

Tacoma Defiance
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

18.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

17.7%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The Town - Tacoma Defiance Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)	5.1 ↑ (5)	6.15 ↑ (5.57)	8.7% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

Preview Facts

The Town is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
The Town has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tacoma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tacoma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, The Town is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 2.2:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has The Town won against Tacoma Defiance?

The Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against The Town?

Tacoma Defiance has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between The Town - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:

03.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 5:4

14.03.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 3:1

25.08.2024 The Town - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

11.06.2024 The Town - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

25.04.2024 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 3:2

Latest results of The Town

21.09.2025 Ventura County - The Town 0:4 ✺

13.09.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - The Town 3:1 ✺

06.09.2025 The Town - Portland Timbers 2 3:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - The Town 1:0 ✺

27.08.2025 The Town - Real Monarchs 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

21.09.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Colorado Rapids 2 1:4 ✺

17.09.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:2 ✺

12.09.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Austin II 1:2 ✺

04.09.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 1:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 3:0 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

Main

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	17	2	3	6	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	15	5	3	5	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	14	5	2	7	54:37	54
4	Chicago Fire II	28	12	5	2	9	69:58	48
5	Cincinnati 2	28	9	7	0	12	40:41	41
6	Toronto FC II	28	10	2	4	12	34:42	38
7	New York City II	28	9	2	4	13	53:61	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	28	5	1	5	17	40:64	22

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	28	13	5	4	6	42:36	53
2	Huntsville	28	14	4	2	8	56:32	52
3	Carolina Core	28	8	5	5	10	42:44	39
4	Atlanta United 2	28	9	2	7	10	44:43	38
5	Orlando City B	28	9	4	2	13	38:55	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	28	6	1	5	16	40:72	25

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	28	14	4	2	8	59:36	52
2	Real Monarchs	28	13	4	4	7	55:42	51
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	11	4	1	12	61:54	42
4	Ventura County	28	11	2	4	11	48:51	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	28	10	2	4	12	47:54	38
6	Tacoma Defiance	28	10	2	2	14	62:67	36
7	Los Angeles FC 2	28	9	2	2	15	47:61	33

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	17	5	1	5	60:37	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	28	15	1	4	8	55:40	51
3	Minnesota 2	28	12	2	4	10	45:42	44
4	North Texas	28	11	4	2	11	46:56	43
5	Austin FC II	28	10	3	5	10	35:36	41
6	Houston Dynamo 2	28	9	4	2	13	40:47	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	28	3	2	4	19	30:67	17

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	17	2	3	6	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	15	5	3	5	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	14	5	2	7	54:37	54
4	Chattanooga	28	13	5	4	6	42:36	53
5	Huntsville	28	14	4	2	8	56:32	52
6	Chicago Fire II	28	12	5	2	9	69:58	48
7	Cincinnati 2	28	9	7	0	12	40:41	41
8	Carolina Core	28	8	5	5	10	42:44	39
9	Toronto FC II	28	10	2	4	12	34:42	38
10	Atlanta United 2	28	9	2	7	10	44:43	38
11	Orlando City B	28	9	4	2	13	38:55	37
12	New York City II	28	9	2	4	13	53:61	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	28	6	1	5	16	40:72	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	28	5	1	5	17	40:64	22

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	17	5	1	5	60:37	62
2	Town FC	28	14	4	2	8	59:36	52
3	Colorado Rapids 2	28	15	1	4	8	55:40	51
4	Real Monarchs	28	13	4	4	7	55:42	51
5	Minnesota 2	28	12	2	4	10	45:42	44
6	North Texas	28	11	4	2	11	46:56	43
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	11	4	1	12	61:54	42
8	Ventura County	28	11	2	4	11	48:51	41
9	Austin FC II	28	10	3	5	10	35:36	41
10	Portland Timbers 2	28	10	2	4	12	47:54	38
11	Houston Dynamo 2	28	9	4	2	13	40:47	37
12	Tacoma Defiance	28	10	2	2	14	62:67	36
13	Los Angeles FC 2	28	9	2	2	15	47:61	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	28	3	2	4	19	30:67	17

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of The Town - Tacoma Defiance?

It is being streamed on channel


Usa	MLS Next Pro