Sporting Kansas City II vs Tacoma Defiance: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rock Chalk Park (Lawrence, KS).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	2.39
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
9	21
Shots on target
5	10
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	11
Passes
84% (353/418)	85% (351/413)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	2.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.59	4.14
Total shots
9	21
Shots on target
5	10
Shots off target
1	4
Blocked Shots
3	7
Shots inside the Box
4	13
Shots outside the Box
5	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	11
Touches in opposition box
18	37
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
84% (353/418)	85% (351/413)
Long passes
69% (29/42)	62% (37/60)
Passes in final third
74% (97/131)	75% (101/134)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	38% (8/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.38	3.13
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
56% (5/9)	83% (15/18)
Duels won
25	40
Clearances Total
21	23
Interceptions
5	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	4
xGOT faced
4.14	0.59
Goals prevented
0.14	-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 3)
2', Lurot P. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Alexandre M. ⚽, Zavala J. (A),
32', 1 - 1, De Rosario O. ⚽, Minoungou G. (A), Tsukanome Y. (A2)
38', Clarke N. 🟨,
39', 1 - 2, Tsukanome Y. ⚽, Kingston P. (A), Minoungou G. (A2)
45+1', 1 - 3, De Rosario O. ⚽, Minoungou G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 1 - 4, Dodzi C. ⚽,
60', Zavala J. ↓, Donovan S. ↑,
60', Alexandre M. ↓, Derksen C. ↑,
62', Katsaros E. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
62', Baker C. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
62', Gomez S. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
68', Arellano B. ↓, Habibullah K. ↑,
75', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Diaw B. ↑,
77', De Rosario O. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
84', Uderitz B. ↓, Christiano L. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Sporting Kansas City II
39%

Draw
22.7%

Tacoma Defiance
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

20.4%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

19.7%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Kansas City II's performance.

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tacoma Defiance might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Kansas City II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tacoma Defiance could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sporting Kansas City II - Tacoma Defiance Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.86)	4.09 ↓ (4.54)	2.41 ↑ (1.95)	8% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting KC II won 1.
Sporting KC II is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tacoma is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Tacoma have a series of home games.
Tacoma will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Sporting KC II won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.7:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Sporting KC II won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Kansas City II won against Tacoma Defiance?

Sporting Kansas City II has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Sporting Kansas City II?

Tacoma Defiance has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Kansas City II - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:

07.07.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Sporting Kansas City II 4:3

09.08.2023 Tacoma Defiance - Sporting Kansas City II 3:1

15.06.2023 Sporting Kansas City II - Tacoma Defiance 3:2

Latest results of Sporting Kansas City II

09.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Minnesota United 2 2:4 ✺

28.03.2025 North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II 3:4 ✺

19.03.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Des Moines Menace 1:2 ✺

14.03.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - St. Louis City 2 0:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

15.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Oakland Roots 2:1 ✺

10.04.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 3:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 5:3 ✺

02.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Spokane Velocity 2:1 ✺

14.03.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 3:1 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Philadelphia Union II	21	10	5	2	4	45:21	42
3	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
4	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
5	Toronto FC II	22	9	0	4	9	26:34	31
6	New York City II	22	7	2	4	9	41:45	29
7	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	21	4	1	3	13	24:44	17

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	21	11	4	2	4	46:24	43
2	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
3	Orlando City B	22	7	2	2	11	30:45	27
4	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
5	Crown Legacy	22	5	3	5	9	33:44	26
6	Atlanta United 2	20	5	2	6	7	28:32	25
7	Inter Miami II	21	6	0	4	11	34:47	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	19	11	2	2	4	48:26	39
2	Ventura County	21	10	2	3	6	43:38	37
3	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	21	7	3	1	10	44:42	28
5	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
6	Los Angeles FC II	21	7	2	1	11	34:45	26
7	Portland Timbers 2	20	6	2	3	9	32:38	25

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Colorado Rapids 2	22	11	1	4	6	44:34	39
3	Austin FC II	21	7	3	5	6	27:27	32
4	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
5	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
6	Houston Dynamo 2	22	7	3	2	10	32:36	29
7	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Huntsville	21	11	4	2	4	46:24	43
3	Philadelphia Union II	21	10	5	2	4	45:21	42
4	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
5	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
6	Chattanooga	22	9	4	3	6	34:33	38
7	Toronto FC II	22	9	0	4	9	26:34	31
8	New York City II	22	7	2	4	9	41:45	29
9	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
10	Orlando City B	22	7	2	2	11	30:45	27
11	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
12	Crown Legacy	22	5	3	5	9	33:44	26
13	Atlanta United 2	20	5	2	6	7	28:32	25
14	Inter Miami II	21	6	0	4	11	34:47	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	21	4	1	3	13	24:44	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Town FC	19	11	2	2	4	48:26	39
3	Colorado Rapids 2	22	11	1	4	6	44:34	39
4	Ventura County	21	10	2	3	6	43:38	37
5	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
6	Austin FC II	21	7	3	5	6	27:27	32
7	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
8	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
9	Houston Dynamo 2	22	7	3	2	10	32:36	29
10	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	21	7	3	1	10	44:42	28
11	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
12	Los Angeles FC II	21	7	2	1	11	34:45	26
13	Portland Timbers 2	20	6	2	3	9	32:38	25
14	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

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