Portland Timbers 2 vs Tacoma Defiance: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Providence Park (Portland, OR).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.63	1.64
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
22	12
Shots on target
9	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
93% (550/591)	84% (330/395)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63	1.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.79	0.17
Total shots
22	12
Shots on target
9	2
Shots off target
11	5
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
12	9
Shots outside the Box
10	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
17	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	0
Free Kicks
16	11
Passes
93% (550/591)	84% (330/395)
Long passes
58% (22/38)	56% (22/39)
Passes in final third
89% (89/100)	64% (72/112)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	1.24
Throw-ins
13	17
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
86% (6/7)	43% (6/14)
Duels won
30	34
Clearances
25	12
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	7
xGOT faced
0.17	1.79
Goals prevented
-0.83	-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Santos N. ⚽, Jura S. (A), Linhares K. (A2)
12', 1 - 1, Tsukanome Y. ⚽,
18', Gomez S. 🟨,
42', Khoury J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alvarez D. ↓, Gaffney C. ↑,
46', Khoury J. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
52', Yamada K. 🟨,
54', Yamada K. 🟨,
56', McGraw Z. 🟨,
57', Carli E. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
59', Santos N. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Linhares K. ⚽, Pope B. (A), Velazquez V. (A2)
65', Moreno A. ↓, Izoita E. ↑,
65', Marquinhos ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
67', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Dodzi C. ↑,
72', Hassan O. 🟨,
73', Santos N. ↓, Bunbury M. ↑,
73', Velazquez V. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
83', Sousa T. ↓, Diaw B. ↑,
86', Linhares K. ↓, Gallardo S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Portland Timbers 2
41.8%

Draw
21.8%

Tacoma Defiance
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

21.9%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

20.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.97)	4.31 ↑ (4.15)	2.58 ↓ (2.86)	6.6% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 3.
Recent performances by Portland 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tacoma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 38:40. (average 1.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 2.5:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers 2 won against Tacoma Defiance?

Portland Timbers 2 has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Portland Timbers 2?

Tacoma Defiance has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:

27.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:2

18.05.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

08.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 5:2

30.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:0

10.05.2024 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 4:1

Latest results of Portland Timbers 2

20.08.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Portland Timbers 2 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Ventura County - Portland Timbers 2 3:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs 1:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Minnesota United 2 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

15.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II 4:2 ✺

01.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 4:6 ✺

27.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Tacoma Defiance 6:4 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	26	16	2	3	5	65:53	55
2	Philadelphia Union II	27	14	5	3	5	60:31	55
3	New England Revolution II	27	13	5	2	7	49:35	51
4	Chicago Fire II	27	12	4	2	9	66:55	46
5	Toronto FC II	27	10	2	4	11	33:40	38
6	New York City II	27	9	2	4	12	50:57	35
7	Cincinnati 2	26	7	7	0	12	34:39	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	27	5	1	4	17	37:61	21

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	27	13	4	2	8	53:32	49
2	Chattanooga	26	12	4	4	6	40:35	48
3	Carolina Core	27	8	5	5	9	42:41	39
4	Atlanta United 2	26	9	2	6	9	43:41	37
5	Orlando City B	27	9	4	2	12	37:51	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	27	6	1	5	15	38:67	25

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	26	13	4	2	7	56:33	49
2	Real Monarchs	27	12	4	4	7	51:41	48
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	26	11	4	1	10	59:48	42
4	Ventura County	27	11	2	4	10	48:49	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	27	9	2	4	12	45:53	35
6	Tacoma Defiance	27	9	2	2	14	57:66	33
7	Los Angeles FC II	27	9	2	2	14	45:57	33

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	27	17	5	1	4	59:35	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	27	14	1	4	8	53:40	48
3	Minnesota 2	27	11	2	4	10	42:41	41
4	North Texas	27	10	4	2	11	42:54	40
5	Austin FC II	27	9	3	5	10	33:35	38
6	Houston Dynamo 2	27	9	4	2	12	39:42	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	27	3	2	4	18	29:64	17

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2 ✔	26	16	2	3	5	65:53	55
2	Philadelphia Union II ✔	27	14	5	3	5	60:31	55
3	New England Revolution II ✔	27	13	5	2	7	49:35	51
4	Huntsville ✔	27	13	4	2	8	53:32	49
5	Chattanooga ✔	26	12	4	4	6	40:35	48
6	Chicago Fire II ✔	27	12	4	2	9	66:55	46
7	Carolina Core	27	8	5	5	9	42:41	39
8	Toronto FC II	27	10	2	4	11	33:40	38
9	Atlanta United 2	26	9	2	6	9	43:41	37
10	Orlando City B	27	9	4	2	12	37:51	37
11	New York City II	27	9	2	4	12	50:57	35
12	Cincinnati 2	26	7	7	0	12	34:39	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	27	6	1	5	15	38:67	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	27	5	1	4	17	37:61	21

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2 ✔	27	17	5	1	4	59:35	62
2	Town FC ✔	26	13	4	2	7	56:33	49
3	Colorado Rapids 2 ✔	27	14	1	4	8	53:40	48
4	Real Monarchs ✔	27	12	4	4	7	51:41	48
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	26	11	4	1	10	59:48	42
6	Minnesota 2	27	11	2	4	10	42:41	41
7	Ventura County	27	11	2	4	10	48:49	41
8	North Texas	27	10	4	2	11	42:54	40
9	Austin FC II	27	9	3	5	10	33:35	38
10	Houston Dynamo 2	27	9	4	2	12	39:42	37
11	Portland Timbers 2	27	9	2	4	12	45:53	35
12	Tacoma Defiance	27	9	2	2	14	57:66	33
13	Los Angeles FC II	27	9	2	2	14	45:57	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	27	3	2	4	18	29:64	17

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance?

It is being streamed on channel


Usa	MLS Next Pro