Tacoma Defiance vs North Texas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - North Texas
Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance - North Texas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.44
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
80% (359/447)81% (333/410)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.92
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
3414
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
137
Passes
80% (359/447)81% (333/410)
Long passes
50% (17/34)53% (31/58)
Passes in final third
70% (128/183)67% (42/63)
Crosses
29% (7/24)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.68
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
713
Tackles
67% (14/21)79% (22/28)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
1130
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.921.29
Goals prevented
-2.08-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', Charles I. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Sarver S. , Ramirez A. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Tsukanome Y. , Gomez S. (A), Brunell S. (A2)
  • 43', Alvaro Augusto 🟨,
  • 45+3', Leyva D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Hawkins S. , Burney L. ,
  • 46', Carli E. , Khoury J. ,
  • 46', De Rosario O. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 57', Brunell S. , Kingston P. ,
  • 61', Leyva D. , Dodzi C. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Sangare F. , Torquato J. (A),
  • 77', 1 - 3, Sarver S. (Pen),
  • 79', 2 - 3, Yamada K. , Burney L. (A),
  • 83', Kingston P. 🟨,
  • 85', Ramirez A. , Swann C. ,
  • 85', Contreras J. , Baran D. ,
  • 88', Sangare F. 🟥,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
53.3%
Draw
22.4%
North Texas
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 22.2% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 22.8% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Tacoma Defiance - North Texas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.68)
    4.19
    (4.17)
    3.84
    (4.07)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - North Texas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
    • Recent performances by Tacoma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • North Texas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tacoma is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - North Texas were as follows:
    26.10.2024 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 4:1
    14.04.2024 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    19.08.2023 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 2:3
    09.07.2023 Tacoma Defiance - North Texas 3:0
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of North Texas
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    2New York City II14521627:3020
    3Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    4New England Revolution II10430315:1218
    5Chicago Fire II10501420:1916
    6Toronto FC II12403512:1715
    7Cincinnati 21113079:189
    8Columbus Crew 210202610:208


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2Orlando City B12610519:2320
    3Huntsville11431323:1319
    4Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    5Inter Miami II13402722:2914
    6Atlanta United 212224419:2214
    7Carolina Core10223316:1513


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County12710423:1923
    2Town FC10511322:1018
    3Tacoma Defiance11510526:2417
    4Los Angeles FC II11411519:2215
    5Portland Timbers 212411619:2715
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 212330625:2415
    7Real Monarchs9313218:1514


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    2Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    3North Texas12611420:2321
    4Houston Dynamo 212530419:1521
    5Minnesota 29402316:1214
    6Austin FC II1122349:1313
    7Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    3Orlando City B12610519:2320
    4New York City II14521627:3020
    5Huntsville11431323:1319
    6Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    7New England Revolution II10430315:1218
    8Chicago Fire II10501420:1916
    9Toronto FC II12403512:1715
    10Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    11Inter Miami II13402722:2914
    12Atlanta United 212224419:2214
    13Carolina Core10223316:1513
    14Cincinnati 21113079:189
    15Columbus Crew 210202610:208


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County12710423:1923
    2St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    3Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    4North Texas12611420:2321
    5Houston Dynamo 212530419:1521
    6Town FC10511322:1018
    7Tacoma Defiance11510526:2417
    8Los Angeles FC II11411519:2215
    9Portland Timbers 212411619:2715
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 212330625:2415
    11Minnesota 29402316:1214
    12Real Monarchs9313218:1514
    13Austin FC II1122349:1313
    14Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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