Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II
Result
4:2
10/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.880.59
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
84% (356/423)87% (440/507)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.880.59
xG on target (xGOT)
5.821.01
Total shots
188
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3119
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
84% (356/423)87% (440/507)
Long passes
50% (22/44)59% (33/56)
Passes in final third
82% (93/114)74% (99/134)
Crosses
31% (5/16)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.49
Throw-ins
2420
Fouls
913
Tackles
71% (12/17)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4335
Clearances
2026
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
1.015.82
Goals prevented
0.011.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Lopez A. (Own goal),
  • 16', 0 - 2, Wibowo A. ,
  • 23', 1 - 2, Dodzi C. , Sousa T. (A), Gomez S. (A2)
  • 26', Diaz C. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 2, Dodzi C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lopez A. , Alvarez D. ,
  • 46', Wibowo A. , Lane J. ,
  • 62', Terry J. , Guerra D. ,
  • 62', Sousa T. , Gaffney C. ,
  • 62', Hassan O. , Khoury J. ,
  • 63', Diaz C. 🟥,
  • 64', 3 - 2, Gomez S. , Kingston P. (A),
  • 68', Dodzi C. , Sandnes G. ,
  • 74', Carli E. , Robles D. ,
  • 76', Khoury J. 🟨,
  • 85', Sandnes G. 🟨,
  • 87', Walters K. , Minor-Kaplan S. ,
  • 87', Evans M. , Resich D. ,
  • 87', Diaz E. , Sanders A. ,
  • 87', Castro J. 🟨,
  • 89', 4 - 2, Gaffney C. , Khoury J. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
37.7%
Draw
22%
Los Angeles II
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 22.7% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 21.9% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tacoma Defiance's form might have worsened.
  • Los Angeles II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Los Angeles II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+17.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles II than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Angeles II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (1.73)
    4.14
    (4.05)
    2.25
    (3.8)
    10%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tacoma will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Los Angeles II will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
    • Tacoma is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Los Angeles II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Los Angeles II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tacoma has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 2.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 2:3
    10.04.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    30.08.2024 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    20.07.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II 4:5
    07.04.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II 2:0
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of Los Angeles II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2261623565:5355
    2Philadelphia Union II271453560:3155
    3New England Revolution II271352749:3551
    4Chicago Fire II271242966:5546
    5Toronto FC II2710241133:4038
    6New York City II279241250:5735
    7Cincinnati 2267701234:3935
    8Columbus Crew 2275141737:6121


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville271342853:3249
    2Chattanooga261244640:3548
    3Carolina Core27855942:4139
    4Atlanta United 226926943:4137
    5Orlando City B279421237:5137
    6Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    7Inter Miami II276151538:6725


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC261342756:3349
    2Real Monarchs271244751:4148
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22611411059:4842
    4Ventura County2711241048:4941
    5Portland Timbers 2279241245:5335
    6Tacoma Defiance279221457:6633
    7Los Angeles FC II279221445:5733


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2271751459:3562
    2Colorado Rapids 2271414853:4048
    3Minnesota 22711241042:4141
    4North Texas2710421142:5440
    5Austin FC II279351033:3538
    6Houston Dynamo 2279421239:4237
    7Sporting Kansas City II273241829:6417


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ 261623565:5355
    2Philadelphia Union II ✔ 271453560:3155
    3New England Revolution II ✔ 271352749:3551
    4Huntsville ✔ 271342853:3249
    5Chattanooga ✔ 261244640:3548
    6Chicago Fire II ✔ 271242966:5546
    7Carolina Core27855942:4139
    8Toronto FC II2710241133:4038
    9Atlanta United 226926943:4137
    10Orlando City B279421237:5137
    11New York City II279241250:5735
    12Cincinnati 2267701234:3935
    13Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    14Inter Miami II276151538:6725
    15Columbus Crew 2275141737:6121


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2 ✔ 271751459:3562
    2Town FC ✔ 261342756:3349
    3Colorado Rapids 2 ✔ 271414853:4048
    4Real Monarchs ✔ 271244751:4148
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 22611411059:4842
    6Minnesota 22711241042:4141
    7Ventura County2711241048:4941
    8North Texas2710421142:5440
    9Austin FC II279351033:3538
    10Houston Dynamo 2279421239:4237
    11Portland Timbers 2279241245:5335
    12Tacoma Defiance279221457:6633
    13Los Angeles FC II279221445:5733
    14Sporting Kansas City II273241829:6417

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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    It is being streamed on channel
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