Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II
Result
4:2
10/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.880.59
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
84% (356/423)87% (440/507)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.880.59
xG on target (xGOT)
5.821.01
Total shots
188
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3119
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
84% (356/423)87% (440/507)
Long passes
50% (22/44)59% (33/56)
Passes in final third
82% (93/114)74% (99/134)
Crosses
31% (5/16)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.49
Throw-ins
2420
Fouls
913
Tackles
71% (12/17)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4335
Clearances
2026
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
1.015.82
Goals prevented
0.011.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Lopez A. (Own goal),
  • 16', 0 - 2, Wibowo A. ,
  • 23', 1 - 2, Dodzi C. , Sousa T. (A), Gomez S. (A2)
  • 26', Diaz C. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 2, Dodzi C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lopez A. , Alvarez D. ,
  • 46', Wibowo A. , Lane J. ,
  • 62', Terry J. , Guerra D. ,
  • 62', Sousa T. , Gaffney C. ,
  • 62', Hassan O. , Khoury J. ,
  • 63', Diaz C. 🟥,
  • 64', 3 - 2, Gomez S. , Kingston P. (A),
  • 68', Dodzi C. , Sandnes G. ,
  • 74', Carli E. , Robles D. ,
  • 76', Khoury J. 🟨,
  • 85', Sandnes G. 🟨,
  • 87', Walters K. , Minor-Kaplan S. ,
  • 87', Evans M. , Resich D. ,
  • 87', Diaz E. , Sanders A. ,
  • 87', Castro J. 🟨,
  • 89', 4 - 2, Gaffney C. , Khoury J. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
37.7%
Draw
22%
Los Angeles II
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 22.7% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 21.9% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tacoma Defiance's form might have worsened.
  • Los Angeles II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Los Angeles II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+17.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles II than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Angeles II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (1.73)
    4.14
    (4.05)
    2.25
    (3.8)
    10%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tacoma will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Los Angeles II will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
    • Tacoma is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Los Angeles II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Los Angeles II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tacoma has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 2.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 2:3
    10.04.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    30.08.2024 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    20.07.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II 4:5
    07.04.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II 2:0
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of Los Angeles II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Philadelphia Union II211052445:2142
    3Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    4New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    5Toronto FC II22904926:3431
    6New York City II22724941:4529
    7Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    8Columbus Crew 2214131324:4417


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville211142446:2443
    2Chattanooga22943634:3338
    3Orlando City B227221130:4527
    4Carolina Core22544928:3127
    5Crown Legacy22535933:4426
    6Atlanta United 220526728:3225
    7Inter Miami II216041134:4722


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC191122448:2639
    2Ventura County211023643:3837
    3Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    5Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    6Los Angeles FC II217211134:4526
    7Portland Timbers 220623932:3825


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Colorado Rapids 2221114644:3439
    3Austin FC II21735627:2732
    4Minnesota 221823834:3431
    5North Texas21831935:4331
    6Houston Dynamo 2227321032:3629
    7Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Huntsville211142446:2443
    3Philadelphia Union II211052445:2142
    4Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    5New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    6Chattanooga22943634:3338
    7Toronto FC II22904926:3431
    8New York City II22724941:4529
    9Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    10Orlando City B227221130:4527
    11Carolina Core22544928:3127
    12Crown Legacy22535933:4426
    13Atlanta United 220526728:3225
    14Inter Miami II216041134:4722
    15Columbus Crew 2214131324:4417


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Town FC191122448:2639
    3Colorado Rapids 2221114644:3439
    4Ventura County211023643:3837
    5Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    6Austin FC II21735627:2732
    7Minnesota 221823834:3431
    8North Texas21831935:4331
    9Houston Dynamo 2227321032:3629
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    11Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    12Los Angeles FC II217211134:4526
    13Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    14Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211

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