Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.88	0.59
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
18	8
Shots on target
10	2
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
84% (356/423)	87% (440/507)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.88	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
5.82	1.01
Total shots
18	8
Shots on target
10	2
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
31	19
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
12	10
Passes
84% (356/423)	87% (440/507)
Long passes
50% (22/44)	59% (33/56)
Passes in final third
82% (93/114)	74% (99/134)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.38	0.49
Throw-ins
24	20
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
71% (12/17)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
43	35
Clearances
20	26
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	6
xGOT faced
1.01	5.82
Goals prevented
0.01	1.82

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Lopez A. (Own goal),
16', 0 - 2, Wibowo A. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Dodzi C. ⚽, Sousa T. (A), Gomez S. (A2)
26', Diaz C. 🟨,
36', 2 - 2, Dodzi C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lopez A. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
46', Wibowo A. ↓, Lane J. ↑,
62', Terry J. ↓, Guerra D. ↑,
62', Sousa T. ↓, Gaffney C. ↑,
62', Hassan O. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
63', Diaz C. 🟥,
64', 3 - 2, Gomez S. ⚽, Kingston P. (A),
68', Dodzi C. ↓, Sandnes G. ↑,
74', Carli E. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
76', Khoury J. 🟨,
85', Sandnes G. 🟨,
87', Walters K. ↓, Minor-Kaplan S. ↑,
87', Evans M. ↓, Resich D. ↑,
87', Diaz E. ↓, Sanders A. ↑,
87', Castro J. 🟨,
89', 4 - 2, Gaffney C. ⚽, Khoury J. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Tacoma Defiance
37.7%

Draw
22%

Los Angeles II
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

22.7%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tacoma Defiance's form might have worsened.

Los Angeles II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Los Angeles II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles II than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Angeles II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (1.73)	4.14 ↑ (4.05)	2.25 ↓ (3.8)	10% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tacoma will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Los Angeles II will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
Tacoma is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Los Angeles II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Los Angeles II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tacoma has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 2.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Los Angeles II?

Tacoma Defiance has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles II won against Tacoma Defiance?

Los Angeles II has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II were as follows:

29.06.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 2:3

10.04.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 3:2

30.08.2024 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 1:2

20.07.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II 4:5

07.04.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II 2:0

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

01.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 4:6 ✺

27.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Tacoma Defiance 6:4 ✺

17.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 2:3 ✺

03.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 5:4 ✺

Latest results of Los Angeles II

03.08.2025 Los Angeles II - The Town 3:4 ✺

27.07.2025 Los Angeles II - Sporting Kansas City II 1:3 ✺

20.07.2025 Ventura County - Los Angeles II 3:4 ✺

13.07.2025 Los Angeles II - Portland Timbers 2 1:0 ✺

04.07.2025 Austin II - Los Angeles II 4:1 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	24	15	2	2	5	61:50	51
2	Philadelphia Union II	24	11	5	3	5	50:27	46
3	Chicago Fire II	23	11	4	2	6	56:39	43
4	New England Revolution II	22	10	5	2	5	42:29	42
5	Toronto FC II	24	10	1	4	9	31:36	36
6	New York City II	24	8	2	4	10	44:49	32
7	Cincinnati 2	23	5	7	0	11	26:33	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	24	5	1	3	15	33:54	20

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	23	11	4	2	6	46:27	43
2	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
3	Orlando City B	24	9	2	2	11	33:46	33
4	Carolina Core	24	7	4	4	9	35:36	33
5	Atlanta United 2	23	7	2	6	8	35:35	31
6	Crown Legacy	25	6	3	5	11	42:49	29
7	Inter Miami II	24	6	0	4	14	35:61	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	23	12	4	2	5	51:29	46
2	Real Monarchs	24	9	4	4	7	42:37	39
3	Ventura County	24	10	2	4	8	45:42	38
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	24	10	3	1	10	54:45	37
5	Los Angeles FC II	24	9	2	1	12	40:48	32
6	Portland Timbers 2	24	7	2	4	11	37:46	29
7	Tacoma Defiance	23	7	2	2	12	52:59	27

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	24	16	3	1	4	55:32	55
2	Colorado Rapids 2	24	13	1	4	6	48:36	45
3	Minnesota 2	24	10	2	3	9	38:37	37
4	North Texas	24	9	4	1	10	37:48	36
5	Austin FC II	24	8	3	5	8	29:30	35
6	Houston Dynamo 2	24	7	4	2	11	34:39	31
7	Sporting Kansas City II	24	3	1	3	17	25:59	14

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	24	15	2	2	5	61:50	51
2	Philadelphia Union II	24	11	5	3	5	50:27	46
3	Huntsville	23	11	4	2	6	46:27	43
4	Chicago Fire II	23	11	4	2	6	56:39	43
5	New England Revolution II	22	10	5	2	5	42:29	42
6	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
7	Toronto FC II	24	10	1	4	9	31:36	36
8	Orlando City B	24	9	2	2	11	33:46	33
9	Carolina Core	24	7	4	4	9	35:36	33
10	New York City II	24	8	2	4	10	44:49	32
11	Atlanta United 2	23	7	2	6	8	35:35	31
12	Crown Legacy	25	6	3	5	11	42:49	29
13	Cincinnati 2	23	5	7	0	11	26:33	29
14	Inter Miami II	24	6	0	4	14	35:61	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	24	5	1	3	15	33:54	20

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	24	16	3	1	4	55:32	55
2	Town FC	23	12	4	2	5	51:29	46
3	Colorado Rapids 2	24	13	1	4	6	48:36	45
4	Real Monarchs	24	9	4	4	7	42:37	39
5	Ventura County	24	10	2	4	8	45:42	38
6	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	24	10	3	1	10	54:45	37
7	Minnesota 2	24	10	2	3	9	38:37	37
8	North Texas	24	9	4	1	10	37:48	36
9	Austin FC II	24	8	3	5	8	29:30	35
10	Los Angeles FC II	24	9	2	1	12	40:48	32
11	Houston Dynamo 2	24	7	4	2	11	34:39	31
12	Portland Timbers 2	24	7	2	4	11	37:46	29
13	Tacoma Defiance	23	7	2	2	12	52:59	27
14	Sporting Kansas City II	24	3	1	3	17	25:59	14

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