Houston Dynamo 2 vs Tacoma Defiance: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

SaberCats Stadium (Houston, TX).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.64
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
16	5
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	1
Passes
86% (454/529)	77% (265/343)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.46	0.65
Total shots
16	5
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
8	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
26	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	6
Free Kicks
8	11
Passes
86% (454/529)	77% (265/343)
Long passes
48% (24/50)	39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
74% (145/196)	54% (36/67)
Crosses
25% (6/24)	17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.61	0.72
Throw-ins
15	15
Fouls
11	8
Tackles
78% (7/9)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
34	41
Clearances
10	34
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	7
xGOT faced
0.65	1.46
Goals prevented
-1.35	0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Tsukanome Y. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Betancourt N. ⚽, Arana M. (A), Viveros J. (A2)
39', 1 - 2, Burney L. ⚽, Pedder R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Viveros J. ↓, Correa E. ↑,
46', Ramos N. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
46', Arana M. ↓, Dimareli M. ↑,
61', Burney L. ↓, Yamada K. ↑,
62', Duenas E. ↓, Romero T. ↑,
68', Dodzi C. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
69', Carli E. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
75', Bolma J. 🟨,
79', Bolma J. ↓, Gardner M. ↑,
79', Robles D. ↓, Katsaros E. ↑,
82', Mwakutuya I. 🟨,
90+1', Katsaros E. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Houston Dynamo 2
41.1%

Draw
23.1%

Tacoma Defiance
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

23%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

22%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.1)	4 ↑ (3.95)	2.58 ↓ (2.71)	8.2% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo 2 won 0.
Houston Dynamo 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tacoma is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Houston Dynamo 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Houston Dynamo 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.3:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Houston Dynamo 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo 2 won against Tacoma Defiance?

Houston Dynamo 2 has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Houston Dynamo 2?

Tacoma Defiance has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:

29.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2 2:0

26.05.2024 Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:3

01.10.2023 Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2 4:3

02.07.2023 Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2 1:0

23.04.2023 Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:2

Latest results of Houston Dynamo 2

14.09.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - St. Louis City 2 3:2 ✺

22.08.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - The Town 0:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 1:3 ✺

09.08.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Real Monarchs 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

12.09.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Austin II 1:2 ✺

04.09.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 1:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 3:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	27	16	2	3	6	66:55	55
2	Philadelphia Union II	27	14	5	3	5	60:31	55
3	New England Revolution II	27	13	5	2	7	49:35	51
4	Chicago Fire II	27	12	4	2	9	66:55	46
5	Toronto FC II	27	10	2	4	11	33:40	38
6	Cincinnati 2	27	8	7	0	12	36:40	38
7	New York City II	27	9	2	4	12	50:57	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	27	5	1	4	17	37:61	21

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	27	13	4	4	6	41:35	51
2	Huntsville	27	13	4	2	8	53:32	49
3	Carolina Core	27	8	5	5	9	42:41	39
4	Atlanta United 2	27	9	2	6	10	43:42	37
5	Orlando City B	27	9	4	2	12	37:51	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	27	6	1	5	15	38:67	25

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	27	14	4	2	7	58:34	52
2	Real Monarchs	27	12	4	4	7	51:41	48
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	27	11	4	1	11	60:50	42
4	Ventura County	27	11	2	4	10	48:49	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	27	9	2	4	12	45:53	35
6	Tacoma Defiance	27	9	2	2	14	57:66	33
7	Los Angeles FC II	27	9	2	2	14	45:57	33

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	27	17	5	1	4	59:35	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	27	14	1	4	8	53:40	48
3	Minnesota 2	27	11	2	4	10	42:41	41
4	North Texas	27	10	4	2	11	42:54	40
5	Austin FC II	27	9	3	5	10	33:35	38
6	Houston Dynamo 2	27	9	4	2	12	39:42	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	27	3	2	4	18	29:64	17

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2 ✔	27	16	2	3	6	66:55	55
2	Philadelphia Union II ✔	27	14	5	3	5	60:31	55
3	New England Revolution II ✔	27	13	5	2	7	49:35	51
4	Chattanooga ✔	27	13	4	4	6	41:35	51
5	Huntsville ✔	27	13	4	2	8	53:32	49
6	Chicago Fire II ✔	27	12	4	2	9	66:55	46
7	Carolina Core	27	8	5	5	9	42:41	39
8	Toronto FC II	27	10	2	4	11	33:40	38
9	Cincinnati 2	27	8	7	0	12	36:40	38
10	Atlanta United 2	27	9	2	6	10	43:42	37
11	Orlando City B	27	9	4	2	12	37:51	37
12	New York City II	27	9	2	4	12	50:57	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	27	6	1	5	15	38:67	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	27	5	1	4	17	37:61	21

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2 ✔	27	17	5	1	4	59:35	62
2	Town FC ✔	27	14	4	2	7	58:34	52
3	Colorado Rapids 2 ✔	27	14	1	4	8	53:40	48
4	Real Monarchs ✔	27	12	4	4	7	51:41	48
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 ✔	27	11	4	1	11	60:50	42
6	Minnesota 2 ✔	27	11	2	4	10	42:41	41
7	Ventura County ✔	27	11	2	4	10	48:49	41
8	North Texas	27	10	4	2	11	42:54	40
9	Austin FC II	27	9	3	5	10	33:35	38
10	Houston Dynamo 2	27	9	4	2	12	39:42	37
11	Portland Timbers 2	27	9	2	4	12	45:53	35
12	Tacoma Defiance	27	9	2	2	14	57:66	33
13	Los Angeles FC II	27	9	2	2	14	45:57	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	27	3	2	4	18	29:64	17

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ventura County is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance?

It is being streamed on channel


Usa	MLS Next Pro