Sydney vs Wellington Phoenix: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Australian A-League Sydney - Wellington Phoenix
Result
1:1
16/03/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 23
  • Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
Sydney - Wellington Phoenix - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.75
Ball Possession
72%28%
Goal Attempts
214
Shots on Goal
71
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
72
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Shots inside the Box
71
Shots outside the Box
143
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
Free Kicks
117
Offsides
06
Fouls
711
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
2215
Touches in the Opposition Box
1811
Passes
88% (569/644)68% (172/253)
Passes in the final third
80% (130/163)51% (32/63)
Crosses
6% (1/16)25% (1/4)
Tackles
68% (13/19)50% (4/8)
Clearances Total
1126
Interceptions
38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Segecic A. , Lolley J. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 1, Barbarouses K. , Geraldes F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Hollman C. , Kamijo W. ,
  • 46', Segecic A. , Douglas Costa ,
  • 69', Klimala P. , Kucharski J. ,
  • 69', Lolley J. , Quintal T. ,
  • 72', Hughes I. , Piper C. ,
  • 80', Geraldes F. , Ishige H. ,
  • 80', Retre P. , Nagasawa K. ,
  • 82', Rufer A. 🟨,
  • 82', Grant R. 🟨,
  • 82', Barbarouses K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Piper C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sydney
72.2%
Draw
17.1%
Wellington Phoenix
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 21.3% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9% 20.5% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney's performance.
  • Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydney that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Sydney - Wellington Phoenix Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.51)
    5.48
    (4.43)
    8.83
    (5.85)
    5.6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Sydney - Wellington Phoenix?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Sydney will win! (9 of 10 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sydney won 1.
    • Sydney in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Wellington has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Wellington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Sydney have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Sydney is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Sydney: Gurd A. (Collarbone injury) Popovic A. (Injury) Shaw K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S. (Knee Injury) Conchie F. (Injury) Sloane-Rodrigues G. (Knock)
    • Our prediction for today's Sydney to win the game is with odds 1.39.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sydney won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 36:21 (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sydney won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:12 (average 2.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Sydney 0:0
    16.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Sydney 2:1
    29.12.2023 Sydney - Wellington Phoenix 3:1
    11.03.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Sydney 1:0
    07.01.2023 Sydney - Wellington Phoenix 0:1
    Latest results of Sydney
    01.03.2025 Macarthur FC - Sydney 0:2
    22.02.2025 Perth Glory - Sydney 0:0
    19.02.2025 Bangkok United - Sydney 2:3
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Bye
    2WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2
    3Melbourne City (2)Bye
    4Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0
    2Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)3 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sydney - Wellington Phoenix?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustralia10 Bold, Paramount+
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1, Sky Sport 4
    philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
    singaporeSingaporeStarHub TV+
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports 7
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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