Melbourne City vs Sydney: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian A-League Melbourne City - Sydney
Result
5:1
03/05/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A-League - Round 29
  • Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
Melbourne City - Sydney - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.470.40
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
83% (393/474)80% (354/443)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.470.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.311.23
Total shots
219
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
156
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
83% (393/474)80% (354/443)
Long passes
43% (25/58)25% (13/51)
Passes in final third
70% (80/115)67% (75/112)
Crosses
22% (2/9)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.76
Throw-ins
2517
Fouls
1414
Tackles
70% (14/20)77% (10/13)
Duels won
6159
Clearances
2419
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.232.31
Goals prevented
-0.26-2.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Behich A. ,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Caputo M. , Tilio M. (A),
  • 34', 3 - 0, Tilio M. , Atkinson N. (A),
  • 36', Popovic A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Kamijo W. , Klimala P. ,
  • 52', Devenish-Meares H. , Redmayne A. ,
  • 54', Ouahim A. 🟨,
  • 55', Klimala P. 🟨,
  • 57', 4 - 0, Kuen A. ,
  • 66', 4 - 1, Klimala P. , Douglas Costa (A),
  • 68', Cohen Y. , Memeti M. ,
  • 68', Schreiber Z. , Leckie M. ,
  • 68', Tilio M. , Rahmani K. ,
  • 70', Grant R. 🟨,
  • 72', Courtney-Perkins J. , Kennedy W. ,
  • 76', Atkinson N. , Talbot C. ,
  • 85', Segecic A. , Kucharski J. ,
  • 85', Ouahim A. , Quintal T. ,
  • 87', Kuen A. , Durakovic E. ,
  • 90+5', 5 - 1, Memeti M. , Lopane A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Melbourne City
53.7%
Draw
23.4%
Sydney
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 24.3% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 24.1% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne City's performance.
  • Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Melbourne City - Sydney Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.97)
    4.03
    (3.89)
    4.1
    (3.41)
    6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Sydney?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 3.
    • Melbourne City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sydney has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Melbourne City could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Melbourne City: Jeggo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Nabbout A. (Knee Injury) Necovski J. (Knee Injury) Nieuwenhuizen J. (Knee Injury) Souprayen S. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Sydney: Grant A. (Calf Injury) Gurd A. (Collarbone injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Sydney were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Sydney - Melbourne City 2:3
    24.02.2024 Sydney - Melbourne City 1:1
    03.11.2023 Melbourne City - Sydney 2:0
    24.09.2023 Melbourne City - Sydney 1:2
    19.05.2023 Melbourne City - Sydney 4:0
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    Latest results of Sydney
    27.04.2025 Western United - Sydney 1:0
    20.04.2025 Sydney - Newcastle Jets 3:2
    16.04.2025 Sydney - Lion City Sailors 1:0
    12.04.2025 Sydney - Auckland FC 2:2
    09.04.2025 Lion City Sailors - Sydney 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Bye
    2WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2
    3Melbourne City (2)Bye
    4Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0
    2Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)3 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Melbourne City - Sydney?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaParamount+
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
    philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
    singaporeSingaporeHUB Sports 2
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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