Swindon Town vs Salford City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Swindon Town - Salford City
Result
2:2
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 35
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Swindon Town - Salford City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.392.01
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
1612
Shots on Goal
76
Shots off Goal
41
Blocked Shots
55
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Free Kicks
119
Offsides
37
Fouls
911
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
2327
Touches in the Opposition Box
3125
Passes
68% (229/336)74% (270/363)
Passes in the final third
62% (69/112)58% (63/108)
Crosses
28% (5/18)13% (2/15)
Tackles
65% (13/20)63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
3234
Interceptions
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Nichols T. , Wright W. (A),
  • 27', 1 - 1, Adelakun H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 69', Nichols T. , Glatzel P. ,
  • 69', Tshimanga K. , Westley J. ,
  • 69', Cotterill J. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 69', McGregor J. , Sobowale T. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Smith H. , Glatzel P. (A),
  • 72', Watson R. , Fornah T. ,
  • 72', Woodburn B. , Lund M. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, N'Mai K. ,
  • 74', Mnoga H. 🟨,
  • 77', Berkoe K. , Edwards T. ,
  • 78', Longelo-Mbule R. , Austerfield J. ,
  • 80', Delaney R. , Ameen B. ,

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
46.9%
Draw
28.2%
Salford City
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 28.7% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 28.7% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swindon Town's performance.
  • Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swindon Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Swindon Town - Salford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.37)
    3.33
    (3.26)
    3.76
    (2.94)
    6.2%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Salford City?
  • Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 1.
    • Swindon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Salford is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Swindon will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Kirkman B. (Knee Injury) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Salford: Ashley O. (Calf Injury) Austerfield J. (Ankle Injury) Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Shephard L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Clarke O. (Injury) Cox G. (Injury) Delaney R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Salford: Stockton C. (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Swindon won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Salford City were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Salford City - Swindon Town 2:1
    10.02.2024 Swindon Town - Salford City 1:1
    21.10.2023 Salford City - Swindon Town 2:2
    18.02.2023 Salford City - Swindon Town 1:2
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Salford City
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham64209:3614
    2Chesterfield641111:8313
    3Bromley633010:5512
    4Crewe640210:6412
    5Swindon640211:8312
    6Walsall64026:4212
    7MK Dons632110:3711
    8Grimsby632110:6411
    9Fleetwood63219:8111
    10Cambridge Utd63128:6210
    11Salford63127:7010
    12Tranmere52219:458
    13Notts Co622211:928
    14Harrogate62227:8-18
    15Barnet62135:7-27
    16Bristol Rovers62134:6-27
    17Colchester61326:7-16
    18Barrow62044:6-26
    19Oldham60423:5-24
    20Newport61145:9-44
    21Accrington50323:6-33
    22Crawley60244:11-72
    23Shrewsbury60242:12-102
    24Cheltenham60152:12-101

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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