Salford City vs Swindon Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Salford City - Swindon Town
Result
3:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 9
  • Referee: Martin R. (Eng)
Salford City - Swindon Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.77
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
610
Passes
59% (154/262)68% (260/381)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.082.02
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
610
Touches in opposition box
2519
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
59% (154/262)68% (260/381)
Long passes
31% (25/81)34% (26/77)
Passes in final third
46% (60/130)44% (39/88)
Crosses
28% (5/18)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.67
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
1210
Tackles
67% (14/21)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5169
Clearances
2538
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.022.08
Goals prevented
0.02-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Grant J. , Udoh D. (A),
  • 15', 2 - 0, Harris K. , Udoh D. (A),
  • 32', Munroe F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Glatzel P. , Nichols T. ,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Drinan A. , Munroe F. (A),
  • 57', Rose M. , Cooper B. ,
  • 58', Grant J. , Ashley O. ,
  • 61', Snowdon J. 🟨,
  • 65', Snowdon J. , McGregor J. ,
  • 76', Clarke O. , Oldaker D. ,
  • 76', Palmer O. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 76', Mnoga H. 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Knight-Lebel J. ,
  • 84', Woodburn B. , Bird J. ,
  • 88', Wilson-Brown T. , Mabete F. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 2, Cesay K. ,
  • 90+4', Udoh D. , Turton O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Salford City
58.1%
Draw
23.9%
Swindon Town
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 25% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 25.7% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salford City's performance.
  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salford City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Salford City - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.1)
    5.05
    (3.7)
    7.11
    (3)
    -15.4%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Salford City - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Swindon will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 1.
    • Salford is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Swindon is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Salford: Chesters D. (Knee Injury) N'Mai K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Ball J. (Knee Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Salford: Stockton C. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Salford City - Swindon Town were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Swindon Town - Salford City 2:2
    22.10.2024 Salford City - Swindon Town 2:1
    10.02.2024 Swindon Town - Salford City 1:1
    21.10.2023 Salford City - Swindon Town 2:2
    18.02.2023 Salford City - Swindon Town 1:2
    Latest results of Salford City
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham963015:6921
    2Salford961216:11519
    3Walsall961212:7519
    4Swindon960319:13618
    5Chesterfield943214:12215
    6Grimsby943214:12215
    7Notts Co942316:10614
    8Bromley935114:10414
    9Cambridge Utd942311:9214
    10Bristol Rovers942310:10014
    11Oldham93428:5313
    12Crewe941412:10213
    13Barnet941411:11013
    14MK Dons933314:9512
    15Fleetwood933311:12-112
    16Harrogate932410:12-211
    17Tranmere823313:1219
    18Accrington82336:8-29
    19Barrow93067:11-49
    20Colchester91538:10-28
    21Crawley92257:15-88
    22Newport91269:16-75
    23Shrewsbury91266:18-125
    24Cheltenham91173:17-144

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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