Newport County vs Swindon Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Newport County - Swindon Town
Result
1:2
24/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 28
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Newport County - Swindon Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.89
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
712
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
35
Blocked Shots
13
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Free Kicks
1213
Offsides
21
Fouls
1312
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
2326
Touches in the Opposition Box
929
Passes
71% (239/338)68% (203/297)
Passes in the final third
51% (53/103)62% (73/117)
Crosses
6% (1/17)24% (6/25)
Tackles
56% (9/16)67% (10/15)
Clearances Total
3433
Interceptions
76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Hudlin K. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Smith H. ,
  • 45+1', Smith H. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Hudlin K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', Evans K. 🟨,
  • 57', Whitmore K. 🟨,
  • 58', Whitmore K. , Martin J. ,
  • 58', Hudlin K. , Baker-Richardson C. ,
  • 63', Nichols T. , Westley J. ,
  • 72', Ofoborh N. , Cotterill J. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Westley J. ,
  • 86', Smith H. , Tshimanga K. ,
  • 86', Cox G. , Cain J. ,
  • 86', Ajiboye D. , Spellman M. ,

Chances of winning


Newport County 25.7%Draw 26.4%Swindon Town 47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Newport County 30.4%Draw 27%Swindon Town 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Newport County 29.5%Draw 26.2%Swindon Town 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Newport County - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (3.07)
    3.56
    (3.45)
    1.97
    (2.19)
    6.1%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Newport County - Swindon Town?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 19).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 2.
    • Newport is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Swindon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Swindon have a series of home games.
    • Swindon will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Newport won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16:20 (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Swindon Town were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Swindon Town - Newport County 4:0
    03.02.2024 Newport County - Swindon Town 2:1
    14.10.2023 Swindon Town - Newport County 2:0
    04.02.2023 Newport County - Swindon Town 2:1
    04.10.2022 Swindon Town - Newport County 1:0
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Doncaster ✔ 4624121073:502384
    2Port Vale ✔ 4622141065:461980
    3Bradford City4622121264:451978
    4Walsall4621141175:542177
    5AFC Wimbledon4620131356:352173
    6Notts Co ✔ 4620121468:491972
    7Chesterfield4619131473:541970
    8Salford4618151364:541069
    9Grimsby462081861:67-668
    10Colchester4616191152:47567
    11Bromley4617151464:59566
    12Swindon4615171471:63862
    13Crewe4615171449:48162
    14Fleetwood4615151660:60060
    15Cheltenham4616121860:70-1060
    16Barrow4615141752:50259
    17Gillingham4614161641:46-558
    18Harrogate4614112143:61-1853
    19MK Dons4614102252:66-1452
    20Tranmere4612151945:65-2051
    21Accrington4612142053:69-1650
    22Newport4613102352:76-2449
    23Carlisle ✔ 4610122444:71-2742
    24Morecambe ✔ 461063040:72-3236

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Doncaster is Qualified for League One
    Port Vale is Qualified for League One
    Notts Co is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Carlisle is Relegated to National League
    Morecambe is Relegated to National League
    Which TV channels are streaming of Newport County - Swindon Town?
    It is being streamed on channel
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