Hartlepool United vs Swindon Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Two Hartlepool United - Swindon Town
Result
2:1
01/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 39
  • Referee: Boyeson C. (Eng)
Hartlepool United - Swindon Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Hartlepool United 35.7%Draw 28.1%Swindon Town 36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Hartlepool United 29.8%Draw 28.9%Swindon Town 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Hartlepool United 29.7%Draw 28.8%Swindon Town 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartlepool United's performance.
  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartlepool United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hartlepool United - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (3.15)
    3.36
    (3.26)
    2.59
    (2.28)
    6.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Swindon Town?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
    • Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (63.66%), project points - 40, currently - 32, a good chance of relegated (80%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Swindon has the most likely position - 10 (18.45%), project points - 65, currently - 51, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has very small quality 9, small importance 28, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Hartlepool is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Swindon is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hartlepool United - Swindon Town were as follows:
    22.10.2022 Swindon Town - Hartlepool United 2:1
    Latest results of Hartlepool United
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Doncaster ✔ 4624121073:502384
    2Port Vale ✔ 4622141065:461980
    3Bradford City4622121264:451978
    4Walsall4621141175:542177
    5AFC Wimbledon4620131356:352173
    6Notts Co ✔ 4620121468:491972
    7Chesterfield4619131473:541970
    8Salford4618151364:541069
    9Grimsby462081861:67-668
    10Colchester4616191152:47567
    11Bromley4617151464:59566
    12Swindon4615171471:63862
    13Crewe4615171449:48162
    14Fleetwood4615151660:60060
    15Cheltenham4616121860:70-1060
    16Barrow4615141752:50259
    17Gillingham4614161641:46-558
    18Harrogate4614112143:61-1853
    19MK Dons4614102252:66-1452
    20Tranmere4612151945:65-2051
    21Accrington4612142053:69-1650
    22Newport4613102352:76-2449
    23Carlisle ✔ 4610122444:71-2742
    24Morecambe ✔ 461063040:72-3236

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Doncaster is Qualified for League One
    Port Vale is Qualified for League One
    Notts Co is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Carlisle is Relegated to National League
    Morecambe is Relegated to National League
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