Swindon Town vs Barnet: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Swindon Town - Barnet
Result
0:2
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 4
  • Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
Swindon Town - Barnet - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.371.27
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
63% (179/284)62% (165/265)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.371.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.371.75
Total shots
811
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
38
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
29
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
63% (179/284)62% (165/265)
Long passes
38% (37/98)38% (28/73)
Passes in final third
52% (46/89)58% (70/120)
Crosses
8% (1/12)5% (1/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.49
Throw-ins
2230
Fouls
1313
Tackles
67% (10/15)56% (5/9)
Duels won
6846
Clearances
3327
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.750.37
Goals prevented
-0.250.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Smith H. 🟨,
  • 43', Wright W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Smith H. , Kilkenny G. ,
  • 59', Ehibhatiomhan P. , Glatzel P. ,
  • 59', Nichols T. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 66', Snowdon J. , Bodin B. ,
  • 75', Galvin R. , High S. ,
  • 75', Hartigan A. , Osadebe E. ,
  • 82', Hawkins O. , Ndlovu L. ,
  • 86', 0 - 1, Osadebe E. ,
  • 90+1', Shelton M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Stead C. , Adeniran D. ,
  • 90+7', Kensdale O. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 0 - 2, Adeniran D. ,
  • 90+11', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
41.7%
Draw
27.1%
Barnet
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 27% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 26.9% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Swindon Town - Barnet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.22)
    3.47
    (3.49)
    3.04
    (3.08)
    6.1%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Barnet?
  • Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swindon Town will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Swindon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barnet has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Swindon has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Barnet has had a series of home games.
    • Swindon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Barnet
    16.08.2025 Barnet - Walsall 1:2
    09.08.2025 Bromley - Barnet 2:0
    02.08.2025 Barnet - Fleetwood Town 0:2
    29.07.2025 Barnet - Newport County 2:3
    22.07.2025 Barnet - Wycombe Wanderers 1:1
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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