Swindon Town vs AFC Wimbledon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Two Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon
Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.580.98
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
64% (209/327)62% (199/322)
Yellow Cards
05
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
4.580.98
xG on target (xGOT)
3.260.94
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2317
Through passes
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
219
Passes
64% (209/327)62% (199/322)
Long passes
32% (26/82)23% (18/77)
Passes in final third
49% (43/87)48% (60/125)
Crosses
24% (4/17)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.77
Fouls
921
Tackles
100% (8/8)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5344
Clearances Total
2734
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.943.26
Goals prevented
-0.061.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Lewis J. 🟨,
  • 45', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Stevens M. , Browne M. ,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Browne M. ,
  • 63', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 67', Butterworth D. , Kilkenny G. ,
  • 68', Westley J. , Nichols T. ,
  • 68', Kirkman B. , Freckleton M. ,
  • 80', Cotterill J. , Ameen B. ,
  • 80', Ofoborh N. , Cain J. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Maycock C. , Kelly J. ,
  • 90+3', Reeves J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
28.9%
Draw
28.6%
AFC Wimbledon
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 27.8% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 28% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.
  • AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Wimbledon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.26
    (2.65)
    3.26
    (3.35)
    2.23
    (2.51)
    6.2%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R. (Injury) McGregor J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M. (Inactive) Pigott J. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    26.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:1
    13.04.2024 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 3:2
    09.12.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 4:0
    22.04.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:5
    10.12.2022 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:0
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Walsall (4)Chesterfield (7)2 : 1, 2 : 0
    2AFC Wimbledon (5)Notts Co (6)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Walsall (4)AFC Wimbledon (5)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon?
    It is being streamed on channel
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