Swansea City vs Nottingham Forest: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Cup Swansea City - Nottingham Forest
Result
3:2
17/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
Swansea City - Nottingham Forest - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.722.83
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
85% (379/446)86% (474/551)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.722.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.701.31
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
316
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1343
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
85% (379/446)86% (474/551)
Long passes
34% (14/41)32% (8/25)
Passes in final third
65% (75/115)79% (91/115)
Crosses
20% (2/10)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.513.64
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
1310
Tackles
36% (5/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
3844
Clearances
1813
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.310.70
Goals prevented
-0.69-2.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Igor Jesus ,
  • 31', Galbraith E. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Igor Jesus , Hutchinson O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Igor Jesus , Kalimuendo A. ,
  • 46', Morato , Cunha ,
  • 54', Savona N. 🟨,
  • 55', Burgess C. 🟨,
  • 58', Key J. 🟨,
  • 62', Bakwa D. , Hudson-Odoi C. ,
  • 62', Douglas Luiz , Gibbs-White M. ,
  • 63', Samuels-Smith I. , Tymon J. ,
  • 63', Franco G. , Widell M. ,
  • 64', Manuel Hedilazio B. , Ronald ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Burgess C. , Eom J. (A),
  • 74', Gibbs-White M. 🟨,
  • 79', Idah A. , Vipotnik Z. ,
  • 84', McAtee J. , Sangare I. ,
  • 86', Yalcouye M. , Cullen L. ,
  • 88', Widell M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Vipotnik Z. , Cullen L. (A),
  • 90+7', 3 - 2, Burgess C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swansea City
21.6%
Draw
24%
Nottingham Forest
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.8% 23.6% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 19.3% 47.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Swansea City - Nottingham Forest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.39
    (4.97)
    3.93
    (3.95)
    1.76
    (1.62)
    5.1%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Swansea City - Nottingham Forest?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Nottingham will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 54.1%91.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3.
    • Swansea is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nottingham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Swansea has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Nottingham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Swansea: Fulton J. (Injury) Santos R. (Knee Injury) Stamenic M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Dominguez N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham
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