Newcastle Falcons vs Sutherland Sharks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Basketball Australian NBL1 East Newcastle Falcons - Sutherland Sharks
Result
87:77
05/07/2025 at 05:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons - Sutherland Sharks - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Newcastle Falcons
34.5%
Sutherland Sharks
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Falcons's form might have worsened.
  • Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sutherland Sharks's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Falcons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sutherland Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newcastle Falcons - Sutherland Sharks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.18)

    1.44
    (1.54)
    6.1%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Newcastle has had a series of away games.
    • Sutherland could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 2.21.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 455:485. (average 75.8:80.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 156:171. (average 78:85.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Falcons - Sutherland Sharks were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Sutherland Sharks - Newcastle Falcons 103:74
    25.05.2024 Sutherland Sharks - Newcastle Falcons 74:67
    11.03.2023 Sutherland Sharks - Newcastle Falcons 76:71
    Latest results of Newcastle Falcons
    Latest results of Sutherland Sharks
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks 2 (1)Sydney Comets (4)116 : 76
    4Norths Bears (6)Manly W. (7)81 : 73
    5Canberra (2)BA CoE (3)88 : 72
    8Bankstown Bruins (5)Sutherland Sharks (8)84 : 89

    Quarter-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks 2 (1)Bye
    2BA CoE (3)Norths Bears (6)
    3Canberra (2)Bye
    4Sydney Comets (4)Sutherland Sharks (8)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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