Sussex vs Surrey: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Cricket Vitality Blast Sussex - Surrey
Result
197:204
18/07/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Vitality Blast
Sussex - Surrey - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Balls bowled
00
Overs bowled
2020
Balls faced
00
Wickets taken
00
Maidens bowled
00
Runs conceded
204197
Economy rate
10.29.9
Extras
00
Bye
00
Leg bye
00
No balls
00
Wide
00
Boundary fours
00
Boundary sixes
00
Wickets lost
00
Runs scored
197204
Run rate
9.8510.2
Minutes batted
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sussex
35.9%
Surrey
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 55%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sussex has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Surrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sussex than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sussex, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surrey than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Surrey, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sussex - Surrey Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.43)

    1.46
    (1.58)
    5.8%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 359.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sussex won 2.
    • Recent form of Sussex has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Surrey is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sussex may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Surrey might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sussex won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 3685:3658. (average 184.3:182.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sussex won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2170:2101. (average 197.3:191).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sussex - Surrey were as follows:
    18.06.2025 Surrey - Sussex 210:162
    18.04.2025 Sussex - Surrey 435:90
    11.08.2024 Sussex - Surrey 243:242
    15.06.2024 Sussex - Surrey Surrey won by 54 runs.
    07.06.2024 Surrey - Sussex Sussex won by 36 runs.
    Latest results of Sussex
    17.07.2025 Gloucestershire - Sussex 185:189
    13.07.2025 Hampshire - Sussex 171:167
    11.07.2025 Essex - Sussex 148:145
    09.07.2025 Sussex - Kent 148:151
    05.07.2025 Sussex - Hampshire 134:196
    Latest results of Surrey
    16.07.2025 Middlesex - Surrey 181:189
    13.07.2025 Surrey - Somerset 201:134
    11.07.2025 Surrey - Glamorgan 224:222
    09.07.2025 Gloucestershire - Surrey 165:193
    06.07.2025 Surrey - Essex 141:145
    Vitality Blast Table
    Main

    North
    PtsWLDN/RPts
    1Lancashire1495002432:231036
    2Durham1485012216:206934
    3Warwickshire / Birmingham Bears1486002576:238632
    4Northamptonshire1486002570:245532
    5Worcestershire1477002372:232828
    6Nottinghamshire1477002368:259728
    7Leicestershire1467012124:222326
    8Yorkshire1459002503:253420
    9Derbyshire14410002358:261716


    South
    PtsWLDN/RPts
    1Surrey14113002551:212344
    2Somerset14113002415:234444
    3Hampshire1476102255:217430
    4Kent1476012220:223830
    5Glamorgan1477002235:234128
    6Sussex1467012272:216326
    7Gloucestershire1459002217:234520
    8Middlesex1439112097:223416
    9Essex14310012111:241114

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