Liepāja vs Super Nova: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Latvian Virsliga Liepāja - Super Nova
Result
0:3
25/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 27
Liepāja - Super Nova - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.051.49
Ball Possession
75%25%
Total shots
256
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
190
Passes
88% (512/585)62% (130/211)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.051.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.242.66
Total shots
256
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
110
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
183
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
190
Touches in opposition box
665
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
612
Passes
88% (512/585)62% (130/211)
Long passes
67% (29/43)22% (11/51)
Passes in final third
74% (169/229)38% (15/39)
Crosses
37% (18/49)0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
3.080.40
Throw-ins
3718
Fouls
127
Tackles
78% (7/9)63% (15/24)
Duels won
5052
Clearances
1757
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.660.24
Goals prevented
-0.340.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Glaudans A. , Skadmanis K. (A),
  • 17', Patijcuks D. 🟨,
  • 35', Traore A. , Samba T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Bombans G. , Sula D. ,
  • 46', Patijcuks D. , Leidsman K. ,
  • 47', 0 - 2, Glaudans A. , Skadmanis K. (A),
  • 62', Saveljevs A. , Ogunniyi A. ,
  • 62', Skadmanis K. , Nakamura R. ,
  • 65', Maslovs R. , Tihonovics M. ,
  • 78', Cudars K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Glaudans A. , Zants T. ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 3, Zants T. , Sula D. (A),
  • 90+3', 🟥,
  • 90+5', Iljins K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liepāja
69.5%
Draw
19.6%
Super Nova
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 24.2% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 23.2% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.
  • Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Super Nova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liepāja that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Super Nova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Liepāja - Super Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.69)
    4.79
    (3.75)
    8.63
    (4.08)
    6.4%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Liepāja - Super Nova?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Super Nova will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 4.
    • Liepāja is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Super Nova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Liepāja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Liepāja is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Liepāja will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:10. (average 2.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Super Nova were as follows:
    17.06.2025 Super Nova - Liepāja 1:3
    25.04.2025 Liepāja - Super Nova 2:2
    11.11.2023 Liepāja - Super Nova 2:0
    28.08.2023 Super Nova - Liepāja 0:2
    09.06.2023 Liepāja - Super Nova 2:1
    Latest results of Liepāja
    09.08.2025 Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils 2:1
    02.08.2025 Jelgava - Liepāja 1:2
    27.07.2025 Liepāja - Auda Riga 2:0
    19.07.2025 Liepāja - Riga 2:3
    12.07.2025 JFK Ventspils - Liepāja 0:2
    Latest results of Super Nova
    18.08.2025 Auda Riga - Super Nova 3:1
    10.08.2025 RFS - Super Nova 4:1
    26.07.2025 Super Nova - Grobiņa 0:0
    20.07.2025 Jelgava - Super Nova 1:0
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC27224167:194870
    2RFS27221471:254667
    3FK Liepaja28145946:42447
    4BFC Daugavpils281171043:47-440
    5Auda281241235:31440
    6Jelgava28781326:35-929
    7Super Nova285111233:43-1026
    8Tukums 200028671529:50-2125
    9Grobina28651726:52-2623
    10Metta28561726:58-3221

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Liepāja - Super Nova?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV, TV4
    worldWorldOnefootball
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