Result
1:1
26/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (175/263) | 80% (365/456) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (175/263) | 80% (365/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (14/58) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (43/69) | 67% (118/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 21% (9/42) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 62 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Sdaigui Z. ⚽, Krautmanis J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Kalmarzy A. ↓, Gaucis R. ↑,
- 63', Deruzinskis R. ↓, Sula D. ↑,
- 63', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Minins J. ↑,
- 75', Glaudans A. ↓, Tihonovics M. ↑,
- 83', Vejkrigers D. ↓, Dione M. ↑,
- 86', Fjodorovs M. 🟨,
- 87', Dobrecovs D. ↓, Dzerins R. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Sula D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Grobiņa
30.9% | Draw
27.5% | Super Nova
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grobiņa's form might have worsened.Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Super Nova's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grobiņa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Super Nova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Grobiņa - Super Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.4) |
3.33 ↑
(3.3) |
2.2 ↓
(2.6) |
9.2%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grobiņa - Super Nova?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Super Nova will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Super Nova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 0.
- Grobiņa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Super Nova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Super Nova has had a series of home games.
- Super Nova might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:29. (average 0.6:4.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grobiņa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:16. (average 0:5.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Super Nova?
Grobiņa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Grobiņa?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grobiņa - Super Nova were as follows:
10.04.2025
Super Nova
-
Grobiņa
1:1
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latest results of Super Nova
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 48:12 | 36 | 51 |
| 2 | RFS | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 51:19 | 32 | 49 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35:31 | 4 | 35 |
| 4 | Auda | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 26 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Grobina | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 20:41 | -21 | 19 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20:39 | -19 | 15 |
| 10 | Metta | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17:40 | -23 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Grobiņa - Super Nova?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
