Result
1:1
15/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (226/309) | 82% (346/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 37 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (226/309) | 82% (346/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/66) | 52% (23/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (63/100) | 69% (96/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 37% (11/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.79 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (17/18) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 40 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Kone M. ⚽, Cucurs D. (A),
- 15', Vejkrigers D. 🟨,
- 26', Barkovskis N. ↓, Diakite T. ↑,
- 43', Perkons E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cirulis J. ↓, Zengis R. ↑,
- 57', Diallo B. 🟨,
- 60', Cucurs D. 🟨,
- 65', Cucurs D. ↓, Murakami S. ↑,
- 67', Klavins K. ↓, Gueye A. ↑,
- 70', Oss M. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 1, Minins J. ⚽,
- 82', Kone M. ↓, Lizunovs V. ↑,
- 84', Minins J. ↓, Sitjakovs R. ↑,
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
42.9% | Draw
28.1% | Super Nova
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.07) |
3.27 ↓
(3.6) |
3.17 ↑
(3.12) |
8.9%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova?
The most likely score is 1:1.
User prediction is BFC Daugavpils will win! (4 of 5 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 and 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Daugavpils won 4.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Daugavpils will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Daugavpils won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:3 (average 1.6:0.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Daugavpils won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 1.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Super Nova?
BFC Daugavpils has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against BFC Daugavpils?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova were as follows:
23.09.2023
Super Nova
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:1
05.07.2023
BFC Daugavpils
-
Super Nova
2:0
14.05.2023
Super Nova
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:4
01.04.2023
BFC Daugavpils
-
Super Nova
3:0
29.10.2022
BFC Daugavpils
-
Super Nova
1:1
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latest results of Super Nova
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25:10 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27:10 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Auda | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 |
| 5 | Jelgava | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:23 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Metta | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 11 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Grobina | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 8 |
| 10 | Tukums 2000 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
