Leeds United vs Sunderland: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Leeds United - Sunderland
Result
0:1
03/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 29
  • Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
Leeds United - Sunderland - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.160.86
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
41
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
92
Passes
83% (450/545)61% (143/235)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.160.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.750.82
Total shots
184
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
51
Blocked shots
92
Shots inside the box
123
Shots outside the box
60
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
259
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free kicks
1915
Passes
83% (450/545)61% (143/235)
Long passes
49% (34/69)24% (17/72)
Passes in final third
67% (82/123)49% (36/73)
Crosses
14% (4/29)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.12
Throw ins
2219
Fouls
1519
Tackles
50% (7/14)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5955
Clearances
1948
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
04
xGOT faced
0.820.75
Goals prevented
-0.18-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', O'Nien L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Mayenda E. , Isidor W. ,
  • 56', Geertruida L. , Xhaka G. ,
  • 58', Diarra H. 🟨,
  • 62', Gruev I. , Nmecha L. ,
  • 63', Alderete O. 🟨,
  • 70', 0 - 1, Diarra H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 74', Justin J. , James D. ,
  • 74', Aaronson B. , Gnonto W. ,
  • 84', Bogle J. , Piroe J. ,
  • 84', Gudmundsson G. , Bijol J. ,
  • 88', Angulo N. , Traore B. ,
  • 90', Gnonto W. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Traore B. , Rigg C. ,

Chances of winning


Leeds United
51.8%
Draw
27.2%
Sunderland
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 27.5% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 27.1% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Leeds United - Sunderland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.91)
    3.51
    (3.35)
    4.56
    (3.8)
    4.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leeds United - Sunderland?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Sunderland (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH 0 - Sunderland (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • AH -1.5 - Sunderland (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Leeds United will win (59 of 73 users predict this - 80.82%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 71.79%89.85%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leeds United will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Leeds (votes: 17 - 85%). Sunderland (votes: 3 - 15%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1.
    • Leeds has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sunderland is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Leeds is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Sunderland: Bi J. T. (Injury) Brobbey B. (Groin Injury) Cirkin D. (Injury) Mandava R. (Knee Injury) Mukiele N. (Injury) Mundle R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leeds: Okafor N. (Injury) Rodon J. (Knock)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leeds United - Sunderland were as follows:
    28.12.2025 Sunderland - Leeds United 1:1
    17.02.2025 Leeds United - Sunderland 2:1
    04.10.2024 Sunderland - Leeds United 2:2
    09.04.2024 Leeds United - Sunderland 0:0
    12.12.2023 Sunderland - Leeds United 1:0
    Latest results of Leeds United
    Latest results of Sunderland
    28.02.2026 Bournemouth - Sunderland 1:1
    22.02.2026 Sunderland - Fulham 1:3
    15.02.2026 Oxford United - Sunderland 0:1
    11.02.2026 Sunderland - Liverpool 0:1
    07.02.2026 Arsenal - Sunderland 3:0
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal30207359:223767
    2Manchester City29186559:273260
    3Manchester Utd29149651:401151
    4Aston Villa29156839:34551
    5Chelsea29139753:341948
    6Liverpool29146948:39948
    7Brentford291351144:40444
    8Everton291271034:33143
    9Bournemouth29913744:46-240
    10Fulham291241340:43-340
    11Sunderland291010930:34-440
    12Newcastle291161242:43-139
    13Crystal Palace291081133:35-238
    14Brighton299101038:36237
    15Leeds297101237:48-1131
    16Tottenham29781439:46-729
    17Nottingham29771528:43-1528
    18West Ham29771535:54-1928
    19Burnley29471832:58-2619
    20Wolves30372022:52-3016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Leeds United - Sunderland?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport OTT 4
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
    bangladeshBangladeshToffee Live
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 7, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
    finlandFinlandViaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
    franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport, Free
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
    indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    japanJapanU-NEXT
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+, Sooka
    nepalNepalKantipur Max
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 4
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesSetanta Sports
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
    portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
    romaniaRomaniaVoyo
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Variety 3
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
    switzerlandSwitzerlandCanal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
    ukraineUkrainePershiy
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamFPT Play
    worldWorldSport 24
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