Sūduva Marijampolė vs Hegelmann Litauen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Lithuanian A Lyga Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A Lyga - Round 27
Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
36
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
115
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
72
Corner Kicks
36
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', Shchedryi A. , Popescu P. ,
  • 25', Harouna A. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Sanokho S. M. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Popescu P. , Harouna A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Yusuf R. , Kazlauskas D. ,
  • 68', Petkevicius N. , Lucky T. ,
  • 68', Sakurai K. , Sabo A. ,
  • 68', Tangiri F. , Momoh I. ,
  • 76', Duke C. , Kausinis E. ,
  • 77', Lawson S. 🟨,
  • 79', Sanokho S. M. , Stankevicius D. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Stankevicius D. , Lawson S. (A),
  • 86', Harouna A. , Djoric N. ,
  • 90+1', Haidara A. , Pyrogov M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sūduva Marijampolė
37.3%
Draw
29%
Hegelmann Litauen
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 26.4% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 26.5% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Hegelmann Litauen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.48)
    3.13
    (3.45)
    2.69
    (2.47)
    10.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sūduva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sūduva has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen were as follows:
    30.06.2025 Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė 0:2
    27.04.2025 Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen 4:0
    12.02.2025 Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen 0:2
    02.11.2024 Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė 2:1
    10.08.2024 Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen 0:1
    Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė
    Latest results of Hegelmann Litauen
    Lithuanian A Lyga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kauno Zalgiris31208360:204068
    2Hegelmann31184947:361158
    3Zalgiris311410746:351152
    4Suduva311312642:311151
    5Siauliai FA31148953:421150
    6FK Panevezys311261345:41442
    7Dziugas Telsiai311251429:34-541
    8Banga31961625:31-633
    9Riteriai31462130:67-3718
    10Dainava Alytus31372124:64-4016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          A Lyga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ I Lyga

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