Südtirol-Alto Adige vs Nuova Cosenza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza
Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 37
  • Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.39
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
61% (128/211)65% (166/255)
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.371.22
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
2615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1720
Passes
61% (128/211)65% (166/255)
Long passes
40% (22/55)38% (26/68)
Passes in final third
44% (40/90)44% (48/110)
Crosses
52% (12/23)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.81
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
2017
Tackles
82% (9/11)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5867
Clearances
4232
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.222.37
Goals prevented
0.220.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', Molina S. 🟨,
  • 14', Rover M. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Mazzocchi S. , Zilli M. (A),
  • 43', El Kaouakibi H. 🟨,
  • 43', Florenzi A. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Molina S. , Davi S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rover M. , Merkaj S. ,
  • 57', Merkaj S. 🟨,
  • 59', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
  • 60', Florenzi A. 🟨,
  • 64', Zilli M. , Artistico G. ,
  • 64', Ciervo R. , Ricciardi M. ,
  • 64', Caporale A. , Kouan C. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Davi S. , Veseli F. (A),
  • 70', Mazzocchi S. , Cruz J. M. ,
  • 71', Kofler R. 🟨,
  • 72', Casiraghi D. , Tait F. ,
  • 72', Pyyhtia N. , Belardinelli L. ,
  • 77', Artistico G. 🟨,
  • 84', Gargiulo M. , Contiero L. ,
  • 84', Kofler R. , El Kaouakibi H. ,
  • 88', Odogwu R. , Gori G. ,
  • 90+2', Gori G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Südtirol-Alto Adige
54.5%
Draw
26%
Nuova Cosenza
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 28.3% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 23.2% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Südtirol-Alto Adige's performance.
  • Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Südtirol-Alto Adige that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Cosenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.92)
    3.6
    (3.3)
    4.84
    (4.05)
    6.3%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Südtirol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Südtirol is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Südtirol: Arrigoni T. (Broken ankle) Ceppitelli L. (Inactive) Kurtic J. (Injury) Praszelik M. (Inactive) Rottensteiner B. (Inactive) Vimercati A. (Injury) Zedadka K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cosenza: Dalle Mura C. (Yellow Cards) Garritano L. (Calf Injury) Martino P. (Inactive) Ricci G. (Yellow Cards) Ricciardi M. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige 0:2
    27.01.2024 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza 0:1
    16.09.2023 Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige 2:2
    18.02.2023 Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige 0:0
    17.09.2022 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza 1:1
    Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
    Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
    01.05.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Bari 1:0
    12.04.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Brescia 1:1
    05.04.2025 Frosinone - Nuova Cosenza 2:2
    29.03.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Pisa 0:3
    Italian Serie B Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sassuolo ✔ 37257578:374182
    2Pisa ✔ 37227862:352773
    3Spezia ✔ 371615656:322463
    4Cremonese ✔ 371613861:421961
    5Juve Stabia ✔ 3714121142:41154
    6Catanzaro ✔ 371119751:45652
    7Palermo ✔ 371491451:42951
    8Cesena ✔ 3713111345:47-250
    9Bari3710171041:40147
    10Modena3710151248:49-145
    11Sudtirol371291650:57-745
    12Reggiana3711111541:50-944
    13Carrarese3711111538:48-1044
    14Mantova3710131447:56-943
    15Brescia378161340:47-740
    16Sampdoria378161338:49-1140
    17Frosinone378161336:50-1440
    18Salernitana371091835:47-1239
    19Cittadella371091830:54-2439
    20Cosenza ✔ 377131731:53-2230

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sassuolo is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie A
    Pisa is Qualified for Serie A
    Spezia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Cremonese is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Palermo is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cesena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cosenza is Relegated to
    Which TV channels are streaming of Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza?
    It is being streamed on channel
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