Madagascar vs Sudan, African Nations Championship: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer African Nations Championship Madagascar - Sudan
Result
1:0 ET
26/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : African Nations Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Madagascar - Sudan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.272.16
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
910
Passes
73% (293/399)72% (279/385)
Yellow Cards
64
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.272.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.981.05
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
910
Touches in opposition box
2429
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1917
Passes
73% (293/399)72% (279/385)
Long passes
40% (31/77)40% (34/85)
Passes in final third
64% (72/113)51% (69/134)
Crosses
8% (2/24)19% (6/31)
Expected assists (xA)
1.131.93
Throw-ins
3024
Fouls
2024
Tackles
71% (15/21)70% (14/20)
Duels won
7990
Clearances
4841
Interceptions
214
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.050.98
Goals prevented
1.05-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Tia Asad M. 🟨,
  • 4', Rakotondrajoa A. , Randrianantenaina H. ,
  • 19', Randriamanampsioa N. 🟨,
  • 32', Razafimahatana M. 🟨,
  • 36', Simbo M. 🟨,
  • 42', Randriamanampisoa N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Tia Asad M. , Abdalla M. ,
  • 65', Hasinirina O. , Rajaonarivelo R. ,
  • 65', Razafimahatana M. , Rakotondraibe T. ,
  • 69', Al-Bahli M. , Zaid A. ,
  • 75', Razafimaro F. 🟨,
  • 79', Razafimaro F. 🟨,
  • 81', Walieldin Khidir 🟨,
  • 84', Alrashed M. , Saeed Ahmed M. ,
  • 90', Randrianirina H. , Manohantsoa F. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 96', Simbo M. , Makeen M. ,
  • 104', Saeed Ahmed M. 🟨,
  • 113', Rabemanantsoa R. 🟨,
  • 116', 1 - 0, Rakotondraibe T. , Rafanomezantsoa L. C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Madagascar
28.3%
Draw
34.6%
Sudan
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 32.6% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Madagascar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • The chances for Sudan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Madagascar - Sudan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (3.04)
    2.67
    (2.82)
    2.51
    (2.48)
    7.6%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Madagascar - Sudan?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Madagascar will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Sudan will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sudan: 47.7%95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sudan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Madagascar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sudan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sudan might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Madagascar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Madagascar - Sudan were as follows:
    23.01.2023 Sudan - Madagascar 0:3
    Latest results of Madagascar
    22.08.2025 Kenya - Madagascar 1:2
    16.08.2025 Burkina Faso - Madagascar 1:2
    09.08.2025 Tanzania - Madagascar 2:1
    03.08.2025 Madagascar - Mauritania 0:0
    Latest results of Sudan
    23.08.2025 Sudan - Algeria 2:1
    19.08.2025 Sudan - Senegal 0:0
    12.08.2025 Sudan - Nigeria 4:0
    05.08.2025 Congo - Sudan 1:1
    25.03.2025 Sudan - South Sudan 1:1
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Kenya (A1)Madagascar (B2)1 : 2
    2Sudan (D1)Algeria (C2)2 : 1
    3Tanzania (B1)Morocco (A2)0 : 1
    4Uganda (C1)Senegal (D2)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Madagascar (B2)Sudan (D1)1 : 0
    2Morocco (A2)Senegal (D2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Madagascar (B2)Morocco (A2)2 : 3

    3rd place
    2Sudan (D1)Senegal (D2)1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Madagascar - Sudan?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaAzam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 5
    andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
    cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Sports 1
    kenyaKenyaGotv, KBC Channel 1
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    madagascarMadagascarMATV
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    ugandaUgandaFUFA TV, UBC TV
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
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