Freiburg vs Stuttgart: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Freiburg - Stuttgart
Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 3
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
Freiburg - Stuttgart - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Freiburg - Stuttgart live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.55
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
78% (281/360)83% (379/458)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.820.91
Total shots
147
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2515
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
128
Passes
78% (281/360)83% (379/458)
Long passes
51% (25/49)45% (26/58)
Passes in final third
68% (89/131)73% (95/131)
Crosses
15% (5/33)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.24
Throw-ins
2314
Fouls
813
Tackles
67% (8/12)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4648
Clearances
1860
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.912.82
Goals prevented
-0.09-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Demirovic E. , Leweling J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 63', Bouanani B. , Tomas T. ,
  • 64', Grifo V. , Scherhant D. ,
  • 76', Mittelstadt M. , Hendriks R. ,
  • 76', Demirovic E. , Andres C. ,
  • 78', Holer L. , Matanovic I. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Matanovic I. , Kubler L. (A),
  • 86', Osterhage P. , Hofler N. ,
  • 86', Beste J. , Dinkci E. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Scherhant D. ,
  • 89', Karazor A. , Fuhrich C. ,
  • 89', Vagnoman J. , Assignon L. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Matanovic I. (Pen),
  • 90+4', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Schuster J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Manzambi J. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
35.5%
Draw
26.9%
Stuttgart
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 26.7% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 26.4% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stuttgart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Freiburg - Stuttgart Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (3.08)
    3.55
    (3.58)
    2.52
    (2.27)
    4.9%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Freiburg - Stuttgart?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 40.7%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 2 - 40%). Stuttgart (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Injury) Bredlow F. (Knee Injury) Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Jaquez L. (Broken nose) Silas (Ankle Injury) Undav D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stuttgart: Tomas T. (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:42. (average 1.5:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Stuttgart were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Stuttgart - Freiburg 4:0
    24.08.2024 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1
    03.02.2024 Freiburg - Stuttgart 1:3
    02.09.2023 Stuttgart - Freiburg 5:0
    11.02.2023 Freiburg - Stuttgart 2:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    31.08.2025 Köln - Freiburg 4:1
    23.08.2025 Freiburg - Augsburg 1:3
    09.08.2025 Freiburg - Osasuna 2:2
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich330014:2129
    2Dortmund32108:357
    3FC Koln32108:447
    4St. Pauli42117:617
    5Eintracht Frankfurt32018:536
    6Hoffenheim32017:616
    7Stuttgart42025:506
    8RB Leipzig32013:6-36
    9Wolfsburg31207:525
    10Werder Bremen31118:714
    11Bayer Leverkusen31117:614
    12Augsburg31026:603
    13Freiburg31025:8-33
    14Union Berlin31024:8-43
    15Mainz30121:3-21
    16B. Monchengladbach30120:5-51
    17Hamburger SV30120:7-71
    18Heidenheim30031:7-60

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Freiburg - Stuttgart?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 6, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
    brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaVision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    portugalPortugalDAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3, SportKlub 4
    singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
    sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamTV 360
    worldWorldOnefootball
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan