Stuttgart vs Freiburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Stuttgart - Freiburg
Result
4:0
18/01/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 18
Stuttgart - Freiburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.32
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
124
Shots on Goal
70
Shots off Goal
22
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Free Kicks
128
Offsides
22
Fouls
812
Yellow Cards
53
Throw-ins
1719
Touches in the Opposition Box
2211
Passes
87% (448/514)79% (319/403)
Passes in the final third
66% (62/94)58% (46/80)
Crosses
21% (3/14)17% (1/6)
Tackles
57% (8/14)56% (9/16)
Clearances Total
2016
Interceptions
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Rouault A. , Stiller A. (A),
  • 11', Vagnoman J. 🟨,
  • 15', Osterhage P. 🟨,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Demirovic E. , Stiller A. (A),
  • 20', Ginter M. , Lienhart P. ,
  • 45+5', 3 - 0, Woltemade N. (Pen),
  • 45+5', Millot E. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Lienhart P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Karazor A. 🟨,
  • 59', Grifo V. , Dinkci E. ,
  • 59', Gunter C. , Makengo J. ,
  • 61', Millot E. , Bruun Larsen J. ,
  • 61', Leweling J. , Fuhrich C. ,
  • 69', Woltemade N. , Keitel Y. ,
  • 69', Demirovic E. , Undav D. ,
  • 76', Rohl M. , Holer L. ,
  • 76', Adamu J. , Gregoritsch M. ,
  • 80', 4 - 0, Undav D. , Fuhrich C. (A),
  • 81', Al Dakhil A. , Chabot J. ,
  • 82', Bruun Larsen J. 🟨,
  • 82', Makengo J. 🟨,
  • 84', Undav D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stuttgart 60.7%Draw 21.6%Freiburg 17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Stuttgart 47.5%Draw 24.7%Freiburg 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Stuttgart 46.4%Draw 25.3%Freiburg 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stuttgart's performance.
  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stuttgart that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stuttgart - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (2.02)
    4.46
    (3.88)
    5.44
    (3.45)
    4%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Stuttgart - Freiburg?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Stuttgart will win! (71 of 81 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 2.
    • Stuttgart is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Freiburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Stuttgart could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Stuttgart is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Diehl J. (Hamstring Injury) Mittelstadt M. (Groin Injury) Raimund L. (Thigh Injury) Toure E. B. (Foot Injury) Zagadou D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Lienhart P. (Illness)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 40:30 (average 2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stuttgart won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:13 (average 2.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stuttgart - Freiburg were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1
    03.02.2024 Freiburg - Stuttgart 1:3
    02.09.2023 Stuttgart - Freiburg 5:0
    11.02.2023 Freiburg - Stuttgart 2:1
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    15.01.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 2:1
    12.01.2025 Augsburg - Stuttgart 0:1
    05.01.2025 Stuttgart - Ajax 2:2
    21.12.2024 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 0:1
    15.12.2024 Heidenheim - Stuttgart 1:3
    Latest results of Freiburg
    11.01.2025 Freiburg - Holstein Kiel 3:2
    13.12.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 3:2
    08.12.2024 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 32237293:326176
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 321911268:373168
    3Eintracht Frankfurt32168863:432056
    4Freiburg321571046:49-352
    5Dortmund321561164:491551
    6RB Leipzig321311851:45650
    7Mainz321391049:40948
    8Werder Bremen321381150:56-647
    9B. Monchengladbach321361355:54145
    10Stuttgart321281257:51644
    11Augsburg3211101134:45-1143
    12Wolfsburg321091353:52139
    13Union Berlin329101333:47-1437
    14St. Pauli32871726:37-1131
    15Hoffenheim327101544:62-1831
    16Heidenheim32752033:60-2726
    17Holstein Kiel32671948:75-2725
    18Bochum32572030:63-3322

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Stuttgart - Freiburg?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaNew World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
    asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportklub 7
    brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
    bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaVision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, RCTI+
    japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    montenegroMontenegroSportklub 7
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
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    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
    polandPolandViaplay
    portugalPortugalDAZN 6
    romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 7
    sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co
    vietnamVietnamON Plus
    worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball
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