Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Austrian Bundesliga Sturm Graz - LASK Linz
16/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRIA: Bundesliga - Round 22
  • Referee: Jager C. (Aut)
Sturm Graz - LASK Linz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.250.69
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
219
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
94
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Free Kicks
119
Offsides
03
Fouls
911
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
2517
Touches in the Opposition Box
4010
Passes
80% (314/392)77% (268/348)
Passes in the final third
72% (138/193)58% (41/71)
Crosses
24% (6/25)19% (3/16)
Tackles
69% (11/16)67% (18/27)
Clearances Total
1937
Interceptions
158

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Horvat T. , Gorenc Stankovic J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 49', Boateng J. 🟨,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Kiteishvili O. (Pen),
  • 67', Lavalee D. 🟥,
  • 69', Bello G. 🟨,
  • 69', Grgic L. , Geyrhofer N. ,
  • 74', Adeniran S. , Lang C. ,
  • 74', Coulibaly I. , Pintor L. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Cisse M. , Zulj R. (A),
  • 83', 3 - 1, Boving W. ,
  • 85', 3 - 2, Zulj R. ,
  • 86', Horvat T. , Jatta S. ,
  • 86', Kiteishvili O. , Chukwuani T. ,
  • 90', Boateng J. , Midzic A. ,
  • 90+5', Ljubic I. , Tchicamboud Q. ,
  • 90+6', 4 - 2, Boving W. (Pen),
  • 90+8', Johnston M. , Malic A. ,
  • 90+8', Yalcouye M. , Hierlander S. ,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
47.3%
Draw
26.8%
LASK Linz
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 26% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 27.6% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • LASK Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for LASK Linz than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Sturm Graz - LASK Linz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.88)
    3.5
    (3.64)
    3.64
    (4.01)
    6%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - LASK Linz?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). LASK will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 57.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
    • Sturm is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sturm won 3.
    • Recent matches Sturm is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • LASK is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sturm will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Mayulu F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in LASK: Andrade A. (Knee Injury) Jovicic B. (Yellow Cards) Jungwirth L. (Hand Injury) Mustapha I. (Injury) Pintor L. (Groin Injury) Usor M. (Knee Injury) Ziereis P. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Gorenc Stankovic J. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sturm won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:30 (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sturm won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - LASK Linz were as follows:
    27.10.2024 LASK Linz - Sturm Graz 1:2
    12.05.2024 LASK Linz - Sturm Graz 2:2
    07.04.2024 Sturm Graz - LASK Linz 1:0
    05.11.2023 LASK Linz - Sturm Graz 3:1
    05.08.2023 Sturm Graz - LASK Linz 2:0
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    Latest results of LASK Linz
    Austrian Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tirol00000:000
    2Grazer AK00000:000
    3Wolfsberger AC00000:000
    4Hartberg00000:000
    5Austria Vienna00000:000
    6LASK00000:000
    7SK Rapid00000:000
    8Salzburg00000:000
    9Ried00000:000
    10Altach00000:000
    11Sturm Graz00000:000
    12BW Linz00000:000

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sturm Graz - LASK Linz?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany
    ukraineUkraineSport 2
    worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 2 Baltic
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