Result
0:1
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Europa League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (348/428) | 73% (221/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (348/428) | 73% (221/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (22/42) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (72/98) | 70% (73/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 48% (11/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Malic A. 🟨,
- 16', Arnautovic M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
- 55', 0 - 1, Ivanic M. ⚽, Elsnik T. (A),
- 66', Chukwuani T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 66', Jatta S. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
- 68', Rodrigo 🟨,
- 70', Ivanic M. 🟨,
- 78', Krunic R. 🟨,
- 79', Karic E. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 79', Malic A. ↓, Bendra K. ↑,
- 79', Malone M. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
- 82', Milson ↓, Bajo M. ↑,
- 87', Ivanic M. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
- 90', Bendra K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Handel T. ↓, Kostov V. ↑,
- 90+8', Mitchell J. 🟨,
- 90+8', Katai A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
27.9% | Draw
25% | Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
47.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sturm Graz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↑
(2.86) |
3.81 ↑
(3.67) |
2.04 ↓
(2.29) |
4.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
- Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 19.5% – 53.9%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- DNB - Sturm (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Crvena Zvezda (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 1 - 20%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Crvena Zvezda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Inactive)
Lavalee D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Lucic V.
(Inactive)
Sandoval K.
(Inactive)
Tebo Uchenna F.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Grgic L.
(Injury)
Mitchell J.
(Injury)
Rozga F.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
- Including home match between the teams, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Sturm Graz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Sturm Graz?
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade were as follows:
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
UEFA Europa League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 11 | Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvaros | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 14 |
| 15 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 |
| 22 | Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
| 23 | Din. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 24 | Brann | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 25 | Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 9 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 28 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 6 |
| 30 | Basel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 31 | Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 4 |
| 33 | Nice | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | -8 | 3 |
| 34 | Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | -11 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | -20 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Sturm Graz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 5 |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | RTL+, Servus TV |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, RTS 1 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 9 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 12, Blue Sport 12 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 11 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
