Troyes vs Strasbourg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Troyes - Strasbourg
Result
2:6
06/09/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 3
  • Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
Troyes - Strasbourg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.813.15
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
2719
Shots on target
612
Big chances
36
Corner kicks
110
Passes
80% (302/378)88% (450/514)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.813.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.155.05
Total shots
2719
Shots on target
612
Shots off target
103
Blocked shots
114
Shots inside the box
1916
Shots outside the box
83
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
36
Corner kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
5532
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
166
Passes
80% (302/378)88% (450/514)
Long passes
40% (19/47)46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
72% (112/155)78% (77/99)
Crosses
29% (10/35)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.041.37
Throw ins
1811
Fouls
616
Tackles
60% (9/15)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
832
Interceptions
615
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
64
xGOT faced
5.051.15
Goals prevented
-0.95-0.85
Goal kicks
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Mille A. , Ouzenadji A. (A),
  • 37', Diaz Jr. M. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Ortega J. , Yassine G. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Sousa D. ,
  • 45+2', Demba P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 56', Ifnaoui M. , Diawara K. ,
  • 56', Picard H. , Le Douaron J. ,
  • 57', 1 - 3, Reyna G. , Ortega J. (A),
  • 62', Nanasi S. , Amo-Ameyaw S. ,
  • 63', Reyna G. , Essugo D. ,
  • 70', Ripart R. , Nkada T. ,
  • 70', Doukoure I. , Coulibaly K. ,
  • 71', Ortega J. , Harder C. ,
  • 79', Yassine G. , Hogsberg L. ,
  • 84', Karim D. , Kone Y. ,
  • 84', Maronnier L. , Gomis I. ,
  • 85', 1 - 4, Amo-Ameyaw S. , Essugo D. (A),
  • 88', 1 - 5, Amo-Ameyaw S. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 6, Harder C. , Sousa D. (A),
  • 90+5', 2 - 6, Le Douaron J. , Diawara K. (A),

Chances of winning


Troyes
32.8%
Draw
28%
Strasbourg
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 27.6% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 27.6% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Troyes - Strasbourg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (3)
    3.43
    (3.42)
    2.46
    (2.31)
    4.1%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Troyes - Strasbourg?
    • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 35.2%84.8%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • DC - Troyes (1.55) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Strasbourg (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 1.
    • Troyes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Strasbourg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Troyes: Boura I. (Injury) Gozzi P. (Muscle Injury) Titi Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: El Mourabet S. (Red Card) Godo M. (Muscle Injury) Oyedele M. (Injury) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Strasbourg: Doukoure I. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Strasbourg were as follows:
    21.05.2023 Troyes - Strasbourg 1:1
    02.01.2023 Strasbourg - Troyes 2:3
    Latest results of Troyes
    29.08.2026 Lorient - Troyes 1:2
    22.08.2026 Troyes - Paris FC 0:0
    14.08.2026 Troyes - Panetolikos 1:1
    31.07.2026 Troyes - GOAL FC 5:2
    11.07.2026 Nancy - Troyes 1:3
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    French Ligue 1 Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lille43107:2510
    2Monaco43106:2410
    3Rennes43108:5310
    4Paris FC42206:248
    5Lyon42206:248
    6Strasbourg42119:817
    7PSG41216:605
    8Lorient41214:405
    9Brest41216:605
    10Lens41128:714
    11Angers41124:5-14
    12Troyes41124:9-54
    13Marseille41036:603
    14Le Mans40317:8-13
    15Auxerre41035:11-63
    16Le Havre40222:4-22
    17Toulouse40224:7-32
    18Nice40221:5-42

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Troyes - Strasbourg?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
    austriaAustriaLaola1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5P
    bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
    canadaCanadafubo Sports Network
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceLigue 1+
    germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Laola1
    israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, FOX One
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaSportsEngine Play
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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