Monaco vs Strasbourg, French Ligue 1: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Monaco - Strasbourg
Result
3:2
31/08/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 3
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
Monaco - Strasbourg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.48
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
84% (323/386)88% (462/523)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.48
xG on target (xGOT)
2.241.47
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2126
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
84% (323/386)88% (462/523)
Long passes
57% (26/46)58% (14/24)
Passes in final third
70% (59/84)79% (116/146)
Crosses
29% (4/14)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.711.23
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
1312
Tackles
68% (17/25)50% (10/20)
Duels won
5656
Clearances
2311
Interceptions
102
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.472.24
Goals prevented
-0.53-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Akliouche M. ,
  • 8', Doukoure I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Doukoure I. , Bakwa D. ,
  • 46', Ouattara A. , Paez K. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Balogun F. , Camara L. (A),
  • 71', Amougou M. , El Mourabet S. ,
  • 71', Moreira D. , Amo-Ameyaw S. ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Bakwa D. , Amo-Ameyaw S. (A),
  • 76', 2 - 2, Panichelli J. (Pen),
  • 78', Camara L. , Bamba A. ,
  • 79', Biereth M. , Ilenikhena G. ,
  • 79', Hradecky L. , Kohn P. ,
  • 85', Golovin A. , Minamino T. ,
  • 90+2', Lemarechal F. , Nzingoula R. ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 2, Minamino T. , Akliouche M. (A),
  • 90+9', Nzingoula R. 🟥,
  • 90+11', Balogun F. , Coulibaly M. ,
  • 90+11', Bamba A. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Akliouche M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monaco
65.4%
Draw
19.5%
Strasbourg
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 23.7% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 23.2% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monaco's performance.
  • Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monaco that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Monaco - Strasbourg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.62)
    5.03
    (3.9)
    6.62
    (4.8)
    2.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Monaco - Strasbourg?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 58.8%89.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 4.
    • Monaco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Strasbourg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Monaco is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Embolo B. (Inactive) Fati A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Salisu M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Coulibaly S. (Calf Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury) Sylla A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Strasbourg: Doue G. (Injury) Omobamidele A. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Strasbourg were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 0:0
    09.11.2024 Strasbourg - Monaco 1:3
    10.03.2024 Strasbourg - Monaco 0:1
    20.08.2023 Monaco - Strasbourg 3:0
    02.04.2023 Monaco - Strasbourg 4:3
    Latest results of Monaco
    24.08.2025 Lille - Monaco 1:0
    16.08.2025 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1
    08.08.2025 Monaco - Inter Milan 1:2
    03.08.2025 Ajax - Monaco 2:2
    31.07.2025 Monaco - Torino 3:1
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    28.08.2025 Brøndby - Strasbourg 2:3
    24.08.2025 Strasbourg - Nantes 1:0
    21.08.2025 Strasbourg - Brøndby 0:0
    17.08.2025 Metz - Strasbourg 0:1
    09.08.2025 Mainz - Strasbourg 0:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG33008:359
    2Lyon33005:059
    3Lille321011:477
    4Monaco32016:426
    5Lens32015:326
    6Strasbourg32014:316
    7Toulouse32016:606
    8Angers31112:204
    9Rennes31112:5-34
    10Marseille31025:413
    11Le Havre31025:6-13
    12Nice31024:5-13
    13Nantes31021:2-13
    14Auxerre31022:4-23
    15Lorient31025:8-33
    16Paris FC31025:8-33
    17Brest30124:8-41
    18Metz30032:7-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Monaco - Strasbourg?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 5
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
    franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Sport
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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