Strasbourg vs Le Havre: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Strasbourg - Le Havre
Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 4
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
Strasbourg - Le Havre - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.69
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (400/453)87% (408/468)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.340.10
Total shots
910
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
167
Passes
88% (400/453)87% (408/468)
Long passes
62% (23/37)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
73% (66/90)73% (68/93)
Crosses
29% (5/17)23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.23
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
816
Tackles
78% (14/18)73% (19/26)
Duels won
5747
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.101.34
Goals prevented
0.100.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Hogsberg L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lemarechal F. , Paez K. ,
  • 46', Chilwell B. , Ouattara A. ,
  • 46', Amougou M. , Amo-Ameyaw S. ,
  • 69', Ndiaye R. , Seko A. ,
  • 69', Doucoure F. , Khadra R. ,
  • 70', Luis R. , El Mourabet S. ,
  • 75', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
  • 76', Toure A. , Ebonog S. ,
  • 82', Moreira D. , Godo M. ,
  • 90', Kechta Y. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 0, Panichelli J. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Sangante A. , Mambimbi F. ,
  • 90+3', Kechta Y. , Youte Kinkoue E. ,
  • 90+4', Hogsberg L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
55.1%
Draw
24.5%
Le Havre
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 22.4% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 21.9% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strasbourg's form might have worsened.
  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strasbourg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Strasbourg - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.56)
    3.94
    (4.25)
    4.78
    (5.68)
    4.6%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 61.2%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 3.
    • Strasbourg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Le Havre is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Strasbourg is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Coulibaly S. (Calf Injury) Doue G. (Injury) Emegha E. (Injury) Enciso J. (Knee Injury) Nanasi S. (Injury) Nzingoula R. (Red Card) Omobamidele A. (Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury) Sylla A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Strasbourg: Penders M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Le Havre were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 2:3
    15.12.2024 Le Havre - Strasbourg 0:3
    04.05.2024 Le Havre - Strasbourg 3:1
    07.02.2024 Strasbourg - Le Havre 3:1
    10.12.2023 Strasbourg - Le Havre 2:1
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    31.08.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 3:2
    28.08.2025 Brøndby - Strasbourg 2:3
    24.08.2025 Strasbourg - Nantes 1:0
    21.08.2025 Strasbourg - Brøndby 0:0
    17.08.2025 Metz - Strasbourg 0:1
    Latest results of Le Havre
    31.08.2025 Le Havre - Nice 3:1
    24.08.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2
    16.08.2025 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1
    02.08.2025 Paris FC - Le Havre 1:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG650112:4815
    2Marseille640212:5712
    3Monaco640214:10412
    4Lyon54017:3412
    5Strasbourg64029:7212
    6Lille531113:8510
    7Lens53028:539
    8Rennes52217:8-18
    9Toulouse62139:11-27
    10Lorient62139:14-57
    11Paris FC52039:12-36
    12Nice52036:9-36
    13Auxerre62044:8-46
    14Angers51223:4-15
    15Nantes61235:7-25
    16Brest51139:11-24
    17Le Havre51136:8-24
    18Metz50145:13-81

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Strasbourg - Le Havre?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chinaChinaMigu
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 6, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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