Stoke City vs Walsall: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent).

: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.29	0.65
Ball Possession
74%	26%
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
90% (536/598)	61% (121/197)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.29	0.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.06	0.53
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
2	6
Shots inside the Box
3	6
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
15	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
12	8
Passes
90% (536/598)	61% (121/197)
Long passes
54% (21/39)	41% (25/61)
Passes in final third
66% (66/100)	58% (48/83)
Crosses
25% (6/24)	29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.62	0.25
Throw-ins
30	18
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
67% (8/12)	73% (29/40)
Duels won
46	68
Clearances
32	21
Interceptions
8	8
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.53	0.06
Goals prevented
0.53	0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Seko T. 🟨,
55', Lawal B. 🟨,
57', Farquharson P. 🟨,
64', Manhoef M. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
64', Lawal B. ↓, Smith W. ↑,
64', Gibson B. ↓, Wilmot B. ↑,
65', Maher R. ↓, Hollman J. ↑,
65', Gordon J. ↓, Stuttle J. ↑,
66', Barrett C. ↓, Jellis J. ↑,
74', Farquharson P. ↓, Flint A. ↑,
78', Clarke C. ↓, Matt J. ↑,
78', Seko T. ↓, Baker L. ↑,
89', Bozenik R. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Matt J. (Pen),
1, Baker L. (Pen),
2, Stuttle J. (Pen),
2, Donley J. (Pen),
3, Flint A. (Pen),
3, Mubama D. (Pen),
4, Jellis J. (Pen),
4, Bae J. (Pen),
5, Adomah A. (Pen),
5, Bonham J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stoke City
44.1%

Draw
39.6%

Walsall
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.3%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City's form might have worsened.

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Walsall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Stoke City - Walsall Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (1.73)	3.63 ↓ (4.01)	9.61 ↑ (4.09)	-34.7% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Stoke City - Walsall?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Stoke City will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Stoke is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Walsall has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Stoke is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Walsall?

Stoke City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Walsall won against Stoke City?

Walsall has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Walsall were as follows:

Latest results of Stoke City

09.08.2025 Stoke City - Derby County 3:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Stoke City - Burnley 1:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Stoke City - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

23.07.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City 1:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Stoke City 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Walsall

09.08.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 1:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Walsall - Swindon Town 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Forest Green Rovers - Walsall 0:3 ✺

22.07.2025 Walsall - Derby County 2:3 ✺

16.07.2025 Walsall - Aston Villa 1:0 ✺

Draw

Main

1/64-finals

1	Birmingham	Sheffield Utd	2 : 1
2	Blackpool	Port Vale	0 : 1
4	Bye	Arsenal
5	Swansea	Crawley	3 : 1
6	Plymouth	QPR	3 : 2
8	Bye	Nottingham
9	Tranmere	Burton	1 : 2
10	Harrogate	Lincoln	1 : 3
12	Bye	Chelsea
13	Tottenham	Bye
15	Accrington	Peterborough	2 : 1
16	Middlesbrough	Doncaster	0 : 4
17	Bournemouth	Bye
18	Bye	Brentford
20	Bye	Aston Villa
21	Sunderland	Bye
22	Huddersfield	Leicester	3 : 2
24	Bye	Manchester City
25	Liverpool	Bye
27	Watford	Norwich	1 : 2
28	Northampton	Southampton	0 : 1
29	Newcastle	Bye
31	Stoke	Walsall	1 : 0
32	Blackburn	Bradford City	1 : 2
33	Bolton	Sheffield Wed	3 : 4
34	Bye	Leeds
35	Grimsby	Shrewsbury	3 : 1
36	Bye	Manchester Utd
37	Wolves	Bye
38	Bye	West Ham
39	Everton	Bye
40	Chesterfield	Mansfield	0 : 2
41	Crystal Palace	Bye
43	Newport	Millwall	0 : 1
44	Coventry	Luton	1 : 0
45	Burnley	Bye
46	West Brom	Derby	1 : 2
47	Cardiff	Swindon	2 : 1
48	Cheltenham	Exeter	2 : 0
49	Barrow	Preston	0 : 1
50	Wrexham	Hull	4 : 3
51	Portsmouth	Reading	1 : 2
52	Gillingham	AFC Wimbledon	1 : 2
53	Wigan	Notts Co	1 : 0
54	Stockport County	Crewe	3 : 1
55	Bromley	Ipswich	2 : 1
56	Leyton Orient	Wycombe	0 : 1
57	Barnsley	Fleetwood	3 : 2
58	Salford	Rotherham	0 : 1
59	Oxford Utd	Colchester	1 : 0
60	Bye	Brighton
61	Fulham	Bye
62	Bristol City	MK Dons	2 : 0
63	Bristol Rovers	Cambridge Utd	0 : 2
64	Charlton	Stevenage	3 : 1

1/32-finals

1	Birmingham	Port Vale	0 : 1
2	Bye	Arsenal
3	Swansea	Plymouth	2 : 1
4	Bye	Nottingham
5	Burton	Lincoln	0 : 1
6	Bye	Chelsea
7	Tottenham	Bye
8	Accrington	Doncaster	0 : 2
9	Bournemouth	Brentford	0 : 2
10	Bye	Aston Villa
11	Sunderland	Huddersfield	1 : 2
12	Bye	Manchester City
13	Liverpool	Bye
14	Norwich	Southampton	0 : 3
15	Newcastle	Bye
16	Stoke	Bradford City	0 : 3
17	Sheffield Wed	Leeds	2 : 1
18	Grimsby	Manchester Utd	3 : 2
19	Wolves	West Ham	3 : 2
20	Everton	Mansfield	2 : 0
21	Crystal Palace	Bye
22	Millwall	Coventry	2 : 1
23	Burnley	Derby	2 : 1
24	Cardiff	Cheltenham	3 : 0
25	Preston	Wrexham	2 : 3
26	Reading	AFC Wimbledon	2 : 1
27	Wigan	Stockport County	1 : 0
28	Bromley	Wycombe	1 : 2
29	Barnsley	Rotherham	2 : 1
30	Oxford Utd	Brighton	0 : 6
31	Fulham	Bristol City	2 : 0
32	Cambridge Utd	Charlton	3 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Port Vale	Arsenal
2	Swansea	Nottingham
3	Lincoln	Chelsea
4	Tottenham	Doncaster
5	Brentford	Aston Villa
6	Huddersfield	Manchester City
7	Liverpool	Southampton
8	Newcastle	Bradford City
9	Sheffield Wed	Grimsby
10	Wolves	Everton
11	Crystal Palace	Millwall
12	Burnley	Cardiff
13	Wrexham	Reading
14	Wigan	Wycombe
15	Barnsley	Brighton
16	Fulham	Cambridge Utd

Which TV channels are streaming of Stoke City - Walsall?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Japan	DAZN Japan
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+