Sunderland vs Stoke City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadium of Light (Sunderland).

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Ball Possession
52%	48%
Goal Attempts
19	13
Shots on Goal
8	5
Shots off Goal
7	4
Blocked Shots
4	4
Corner Kicks
5	3
Shots inside the Box
13	9
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	7
Free Kicks
17	9
Offsides
6	3
Fouls
9	17
Yellow Cards
1	4
Throw-ins
25	19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Cannon T. (Pen),
23', Rigg C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Alese A. ↓, Johnson Z. ↑,
60', Rigg C. ↓, Aleksic M. ↑,
60', Stevens E. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,
60', Seko T. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
63', Baker L. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Aleksic M. ⚽, Aouchiche A. (A),
72', Moran A. 🟨,
75', Koumas L. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
76', Cannon T. ↓, Ennis N. ↑,
79', Jones H. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
93', Burger W. 🟨,
95', Burger W. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
99', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
105', Hjelde L. F. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
111', Mayenda E. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
112', 1 - 2, Ennis N. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Sunderland
55%

Draw
23.2%

Stoke City
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

23.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.5%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-4%)

Sunderland - Stoke City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.65)	4.1 ↑ (3.99)	4.37 ↓ (5.03)	5.2% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Sunderland - Stoke City?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Stoke will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 29.6% – 90.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2.
Sunderland is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Stoke is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Sunderland is a favorite.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20:23 (average 1.1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.7:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Sunderland won against Stoke City?

Sunderland has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Sunderland?

Stoke City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sunderland - Stoke City were as follows:

29.12.2024 Stoke City - Sunderland 1:0

07.12.2024 Sunderland - Stoke City 2:1

27.01.2024 Sunderland - Stoke City 3:1

21.10.2023 Stoke City - Sunderland 2:1

04.03.2023 Sunderland - Stoke City 1:5

Latest results of Sunderland

05.01.2025 Sunderland - Portsmouth 1:0 ✺

01.01.2025 Sunderland - Sheffield United 2:1 ✺

29.12.2024 Stoke City - Sunderland 1:0 ✺

26.12.2024 Blackburn Rovers - Sunderland 2:2 ✺

21.12.2024 Sunderland - Norwich City 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Stoke City

04.01.2025 Stoke City - Plymouth Argyle 0:0 ✺

01.01.2025 Burnley - Stoke City 0:0 ✺

29.12.2024 Stoke City - Sunderland 1:0 ✺

26.12.2024 Stoke City - Leeds United 0:2 ✺

21.12.2024 Sheffield Wednesday - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	AFC Fylde	Bye
2	Warrington	Bamber Bridge	0 : 3
3	Silsden	Bootle	2 : 4, 0 : 0
4	Bye	Darlington
5	AFC Telford	Bye
6	Bye	Kidderminster
7	Kidsgrove	Racing Club Warwick	1 : 2
8	Evesham	Bromsgrove	5 : 2
9	Macclesfield	Bye
10	Atherton R.	Atherton	5 : 2
11	Avro	Nantwich	0 : 2, 1 : 1
12	Trafford	Stockton	2 : 1
13	Sutton Coldfield	Abbey Hulton	3 : 2, 2 : 2
14	Hanley Town	Stourbridge	0 : 2
15	Bourne	Shepshed	1 : 2, 0 : 0
16	Stamford	Coventry Sphinx	1 : 0
17	Kendal	Dunston	0 : 1
18	Wombwell Town	Stocksbridge	1 : 3
19	Corby	Gainsborough	1 : 2
20	Rushall	Atherstone	5 : 1
24	Bye	Hartlepool
25	Carlisle	Bye
32	Bye	Boston Utd
33	Rochdale	Bye
40	Bye	York City
41	Pickering Town	Redcar Athletic	5 : 2
42	West D. & C.	Runcorn Linnets	0 : 2
43	Hallam	Ashton Utd	0 : 2, 2 : 2
44	Bye	Scarborough
45	Newcastle Blue Star	Heaton Stannington	1 : 0
46	Bye	Marine
47	Buxton	Bye
48	Redditch	Skegness Town	5 : 0
49	Morecambe	Bye
53	Workington	Stalybridge	2 : 3
54	Bye	Chester
55	Curzon Ashton	Bye
56	Hebburn Town	Longridge Town	1 : 0
57	South Shields	Bye
58	Warrington Rylands	Guiseley	1 : 4
59	Widnes	Congleton (WO.)
60	Bye	Chorley
61	Ilkeston	Spalding United	1 : 2
62	Bye	Alfreton
63	Bedford	Bye
64	Bye	Dag & Red
65	Tamworth	Bye
69	Hyde	Prescot	1 : 0, 2 : 2
70	Lancaster	Whitby	1 : 2
71	Matlock	Bottesford	4 : 1
72	Carlton Town	Cleethorpes	3 : 0
73	Scunthorpe	Bye
77	Redbridge	Royston	1 : 2
78	Brentwood	Leighton Town	2 : 1
79	Chesham	Bye
80	Bye	Kingu2019s Lynn
81	Eastwood Community	Grimsby Borough	1 : 2
82	Halesowen	Stratford	3 : 0, 1 : 1
83	Sudbury	Mildenhall	4 : 0
84	Aveley	Hashtag	3 : 0
88	Bye	Gateshead
89	West Auckland	Wythenshawe FC	3 : 1
90	Bye	Spennymoor
91	Rossington Main	FC United	0 : 4
92	Bishop Auckland	Chadderton	1 : 3
93	Coleshill	Worcester Raiders	2 : 1
94	Hednesford	Basford	3 : 1
95	Billericay	Barton	4 : 1
96	Berkhamsted	St. Ives	2 : 0
97	Morpeth	Pontefract	2 : 1
98	Witton	Shildon	3 : 0, 3 : 3
99	Radcliffe	Bye
100	Bye	Southport
104	Bye	FC Halifax
105	Altrincham	Bye
109	Harborough	Leek	3 : 0, 0 : 0
110	Bye	Worksop
111	Peterborough Sports	Bye
112	Bye	Hornchurch
113	Bishops Cleeve	Wimborne	2 : 5
114	Bye	Bath
115	Burnham FC	Jersey Bulls	0 : 3
116	Bye	Worthing
120	Bye	Forest Green
121	Haverhill	Waltham Abbey	0 : 3
122	March Town	Gorleston	1 : 3
123	Maldon & Tiptree	Canvey	2 : 0
124	Stanway	Cockfosters	2 : 1
125	Tower Hamlets	Ascot	4 : 1
126	Flackwell	Lewes	2 : 1
127	Bracknell	Dartford	2 : 0, 2 : 2
128	Tadley	Weymouth	4 : 2
129	Woking	Bye
136	Bye	Brackley Town
137	Wealdstone	Bye
141	Dulwich Hamlet	Whitstable Town	2 : 3
142	Havant & W	Chichester	0 : 1
143	Hungerford	AFC Stoneham	3 : 0
144	Tavistock	Swindon S	1 : 4
145	Cray Wanderers	Hanwell Town	0 : 1, 2 : 2
146	Bedfont Sports	Littlehampton	4 : 3
147	Uxbridge	Welling	1 : 2
148	Bye	Slough
149	Enfield FC	Ilford	3 : 1
150	Bye	Enfield Town
151	Quorn	Sherwood Colliery	8 : 0
152	Long Eaton	Kettering	1 : 4
153	Winchester	Fareham	0 : 1, 0 : 0
154	Fairford	Sholing	0 : 2
155	Eastbourne Boro	Bye
156	Epsom	Risborough	2 : 1
160	Bye	Boreham Wood
161	Merthyr Town	Bye
162	Royal Wootton	Torpoint	1 : 3
163	Hampton & Richmond	Bye
164	Sittingbourne	Croydon Ath.	1 : 2
168	Bye	Eastleigh
169	Southend	Bye
173	Westfield	Sheppey United	2 : 0
174	Bye	Horsham FC
175	Folkestone	Sevenoaks	3 : 0
176	Bye	Maidstone
177	Ebbsfleet	Bye
178	Ashford Town	Whyteleafe	3 : 2
179	Maidenhead	Bye
180	Faversham	Hastings	3 : 0, 2 : 2
184	Bye	Solihull Moors
185	Braintree	Bye
189	Westbury United	Yate Town	3 : 2, 2 : 2
190	Bye	Oxford City
191	Farnborough	Bye
192	Bye	Dover
193	Chertsey	Thame	2 : 1
194	Ramsgate	Cray Valley	1 : 2
195	Steyning Town	Lancing	5 : 0
196	Bye	Tonbridge
197	Raynes Park Vale	Ashford U.	0 : 2
198	Chatham	Marlow	4 : 0
199	Deal	Cobham	2 : 0
200	Beckenham	Egham	2 : 3
201	Gosport	Basingstoke	2 : 1
202	Didcot	Poole	1 : 2, 1 : 1
203	Tiverton	Taunton	3 : 4
204	Bye	Weston-super-Mare
205	Needham Market	Tilbury	4 : 2
206	Eynesbury	Arlesey	3 : 1
207	Histon	Mulbarton Wanderers	2 : 3
208	Witham	Lowestoft	3 : 2
209	Hemel Hempstead	Bye
210	Real Bedford	Bishop's Stortford	0 : 1, 1 : 1
211	Boston Town	Sporting Khalsa	0 : 2, 1 : 1
212	Bye	Hereford
216	Bye	Yeovil
217	Cheshunt	Leiston	1 : 2
218	Knaphill	Hackney Wick	1 : 2
219	Worcester	Chasetown	2 : 3, 1 : 1
220	Mangotsfield	Banbury	0 : 1
221	Brightlingsea	Bury Town	2 : 3
222	Newmarket	Woodford Town	2 : 3
223	Potters Bar	Hitchin	0 : 2, 2 : 2
224	Aylesbury Vale	St. Albans	1 : 3
225	Alvechurch	Barwell	4 : 2
226	Bye	Leamington
227	Chelmsford	Bye
228	Bowers & Pitsea	Hertford	1 : 2
229	Hayes & Yeading	Whitehawk	2 : 3, 1 : 1
230	Three Bridges	Walton & Hersham	0 : 2
231	Gloucester	Portchester	2 : 0, 1 : 1
232	Bye	Chippenham
233	AFC Totton	Bye
234	Bye	Torquay
235	Shaftesbury Town	Exmouth Town	2 : 0, 1 : 1
236	Plymouth Parkway	Frome	0 : 4
240	Bye	Truro
241	Salisbury	Bye
242	Hythe & Dibden	Laverstock & Ford	1 : 2
243	Dorking	Bye
244	Carshalton	Wingate & Finchley	2 : 3, 0 : 0
248	Bye	Aldershot
249	Wokingham	Burgess Hill	1 : 5
250	Erith Town	Farnham	0 : 3
251	Falmouth Town	Brixham	0 : 5
252	Slimbridge	Dorchester	0 : 1
256	Bye	Sutton

Quarter-finals

1	AFC Fylde	Bamber Bridge	4 : 1
2	Bootle	Darlington	1 : 3
3	AFC Telford	Kidderminster	3 : 1
4	Racing Club Warwick	Evesham	0 : 1, 3 : 3
5	Macclesfield	Atherton R.	3 : 0
6	Nantwich	Trafford	3 : 1
7	Sutton Coldfield	Stourbridge	3 : 1
8	Shepshed	Stamford	0 : 2
9	Dunston	Stocksbridge	1 : 0
10	Gainsborough	Rushall	2 : 1
12	Bye	Hartlepool
13	Carlisle	Bye
16	Bye	Boston Utd
17	Rochdale	Bye
20	Bye	York City
21	Pickering Town	Runcorn Linnets	0 : 2
22	Ashton Utd	Scarborough	2 : 0
23	Newcastle Blue Star	Marine	0 : 2
24	Buxton	Redditch	3 : 0
25	Morecambe	Bye
27	Stalybridge	Chester	1 : 2
28	Curzon Ashton	Hebburn Town	4 : 1
29	South Shields	Guiseley	2 : 1
30	Congleton	Chorley	0 : 1
31	Spalding United	Alfreton	3 : 0
32	Bedford	Dag & Red	0 : 1, 1 : 1
33	Tamworth	Bye
35	Hyde	Whitby	2 : 0
36	Matlock	Carlton Town	3 : 0
37	Scunthorpe	Bye
39	Royston	Brentwood	1 : 0
40	Chesham	Kingu2019s Lynn	1 : 4
41	Grimsby Borough	Halesowen	1 : 6, 1 : 1
42	Sudbury	Aveley	1 : 2
44	Bye	Gateshead
45	West Auckland	Spennymoor	0 : 1
46	FC United	Chadderton	0 : 1
47	Coleshill	Hednesford	0 : 7
48	Billericay	Berkhamsted	3 : 0
49	Morpeth	Witton	2 : 1
50	Radcliffe	Southport	2 : 3, 1 : 1
52	Bye	FC Halifax
53	Altrincham	Bye
55	Harborough	Worksop	3 : 2
56	Peterborough Sports	Hornchurch	2 : 1
57	Wimborne	Bath	2 : 1
58	Jersey Bulls	Worthing	0 : 5, 2 : 2
60	Bye	Forest Green
61	Waltham Abbey	Gorleston	2 : 0
62	Maldon & Tiptree	Stanway	2 : 0
63	Tower Hamlets	Flackwell	0 : 2
64	Bracknell	Tadley	2 : 0
65	Woking	Bye
68	Bye	Brackley Town
69	Wealdstone	Bye
71	Whitstable Town	Chichester	1 : 0, 1 : 1
72	Hungerford	Swindon S	3 : 0
73	Hanwell Town	Bedfont Sports	0 : 1
74	Welling	Slough	0 : 1, 1 : 1
75	Enfield FC	Enfield Town	0 : 3
76	Quorn	Kettering	2 : 1
77	Fareham	Sholing	0 : 3
78	Eastbourne Boro	Epsom	4 : 0
80	Bye	Boreham Wood
81	Merthyr Town	Torpoint	4 : 0
82	Hampton & Richmond	Croydon Ath.	4 : 2
84	Bye	Eastleigh
85	Southend	Bye
87	Westfield	Horsham FC	0 : 6, 2 : 2
88	Folkestone	Maidstone	2 : 0
89	Ebbsfleet	Ashford Town	5 : 0
90	Maidenhead	Faversham	0 : 1
92	Bye	Solihull Moors
93	Braintree	Bye
95	Westbury United	Oxford City	3 : 2
96	Farnborough	Dover	4 : 1
97	Chertsey	Cray Valley	2 : 3
98	Steyning Town	Tonbridge	1 : 6, 2 : 2
99	Ashford U.	Chatham	0 : 3
100	Deal	Egham	2 : 1
101	Gosport	Poole	0 : 3
102	Taunton	Weston-super-Mare	0 : 3, 1 : 1
103	Needham Market	Eynesbury	4 : 2
104	Mulbarton Wanderers	Witham	0 : 2, 0 : 0
105	Hemel Hempstead	Bishop's Stortford	4 : 1
106	Sporting Khalsa	Hereford	2 : 3
108	Bye	Yeovil
109	Leiston	Hackney Wick	4 : 1
110	Chasetown	Banbury	1 : 2, 0 : 0
111	Bury Town	Woodford Town	0 : 1, 1 : 1
112	Hitchin	St. Albans	1 : 2
113	Alvechurch	Leamington	3 : 0
114	Chelmsford	Hertford	6 : 0
115	Whitehawk	Walton & Hersham	0 : 2
116	Gloucester	Chippenham	1 : 2
117	AFC Totton	Torquay	2 : 0
118	Shaftesbury Town	Frome	1 : 2, 1 : 1
120	Bye	Truro
121	Salisbury	Laverstock & Ford	4 : 1
122	Dorking	Wingate & Finchley	7 : 2
124	Bye	Aldershot
125	Burgess Hill	Farnham	1 : 3
126	Brixham	Dorchester	1 : 3
128	Bye	Sutton

Semi-finals

1	AFC Fylde	Darlington	1 : 3, 2 : 2
2	AFC Telford	Evesham	4 : 1
3	Macclesfield	Nantwich	2 : 0
4	Sutton Coldfield	Stamford	0 : 1
5	Dunston	Gainsborough	1 : 2
6	Bye	Hartlepool
7	Carlisle	Bye
8	Bye	Boston Utd
9	Rochdale	Bye
10	Bye	York City
11	Runcorn Linnets	Ashton Utd	2 : 1, 1 : 1
12	Marine	Buxton	2 : 3
13	Morecambe	Bye
14	Chester	Curzon Ashton	5 : 1
15	South Shields	Chorley	4 : 1
16	Spalding United	Dag & Red	2 : 1
17	Tamworth	Bye
18	Hyde	Matlock	1 : 0
19	Scunthorpe	Bye
20	Royston	Kingu2019s Lynn	1 : 5
21	Halesowen	Aveley	0 : 1, 0 : 0
22	Bye	Gateshead
23	Spennymoor	Chadderton	3 : 0
24	Hednesford	Billericay	0 : 2, 0 : 0
25	Morpeth	Southport	1 : 3
26	Bye	FC Halifax
27	Altrincham	Bye
28	Harborough	Peterborough Sports	4 : 1
29	Wimborne	Worthing	0 : 3
30	Bye	Forest Green
31	Waltham Abbey	Maldon & Tiptree	2 : 4
32	Flackwell	Bracknell	3 : 0, 1 : 1
33	Woking	Bye
34	Bye	Brackley Town
35	Wealdstone	Bye
36	Whitstable Town	Hungerford	2 : 0
37	Bedfont Sports	Slough	1 : 2
38	Enfield Town	Quorn	5 : 1
39	Sholing	Eastbourne Boro	1 : 2
40	Bye	Boreham Wood
41	Merthyr Town	Hampton & Richmond	0 : 1
42	Bye	Eastleigh
43	Southend	Bye
44	Horsham FC	Folkestone	2 : 3
45	Ebbsfleet	Faversham	2 : 1
46	Bye	Solihull Moors
47	Braintree	Bye
48	Westbury United	Farnborough	0 : 1
49	Cray Valley	Tonbridge	0 : 5, 0 : 0
50	Chatham	Deal	3 : 1
51	Poole	Weston-super-Mare	0 : 2
52	Needham Market	Witham	2 : 1
53	Hemel Hempstead	Hereford	3 : 0, 2 : 2
54	Bye	Yeovil
55	Leiston	Banbury	0 : 3
56	Woodford Town	St. Albans	0 : 1
57	Alvechurch	Chelmsford	1 : 2
58	Walton & Hersham	Chippenham	0 : 2
59	AFC Totton	Frome	4 : 2
60	Bye	Truro
61	Salisbury	Dorking	2 : 4, 1 : 1
62	Bye	Aldershot
63	Farnham	Dorchester	3 : 0
64	Bye	Sutton

Final

1	Darlington	AFC Telford
2	Macclesfield	Stamford
3	Gainsborough	Hartlepool
4	Carlisle	Boston Utd
5	Rochdale	York City
6	Runcorn Linnets	Buxton
7	Morecambe	Chester
8	South Shields	Spalding United
9	Tamworth	Hyde
10	Scunthorpe	Kingu2019s Lynn
11	Aveley	Gateshead
12	Spennymoor	Billericay
13	Southport	FC Halifax
14	Altrincham	Harborough
15	Worthing	Forest Green
16	Maldon & Tiptree	Flackwell
17	Woking	Brackley Town
18	Wealdstone	Whitstable Town
19	Slough	Enfield Town
20	Eastbourne Boro	Boreham Wood
21	Hampton & Richmond	Eastleigh
22	Southend	Folkestone
23	Ebbsfleet	Solihull Moors
24	Braintree	Farnborough
25	Tonbridge	Chatham
26	Weston-super-Mare	Needham Market
27	Hemel Hempstead	Yeovil
28	Banbury	St. Albans
29	Chelmsford	Chippenham
30	AFC Totton	Truro
31	Dorking	Aldershot
32	Farnham	Sutton

Which TV channels are streaming of Sunderland - Stoke City?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Optus Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Sportsnet Now Plus
China	Migu
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+