Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Championship - Round 3
- Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.31 | 1.20 |
Ball Possession |
---|
65% | 35% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
87% (397/456) | 73% (190/259) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.31 | 1.20 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.59 | 1.88 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
32 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
87% (397/456) | 73% (190/259) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (15/39) | 44% (24/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
80% (116/145) | 58% (53/91) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (14/46) | 11% (2/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.02 | 0.41 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
5 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (8/12) | 38% (3/8) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.88 | 0.59 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.12 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Welington ↓, Manning R. ↑,
- 25', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
- 28', Mubama D. 🟨,
- 45+3', Seko T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Armstrong A. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 1, Baker L. ⚽,
- 57', Wood N. 🟨,
- 59', Mubama D. 🟨,
- 68', Wood N. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
- 71', Seko T. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 71', Bae J. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
- 71', Johansson V. 🟨,
- 76', 0 - 2, Thomas S. ⚽, Johansson V. (A),
- 79', Charles S. ↓, Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 79', Robinson J. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Harwood-Bellis T. ⚽, Fernandes M. (A),
- 81', Manhoef M. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Southampton 50.9% | Draw 26.1% | Stoke City 23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southampton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Southampton - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↑ (1.73) |
3.63 ↓ (3.75) |
4.17 ↓ (4.5) |
5.1% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Southampton - Stoke City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stoke (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Southampton will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2.
- In recent matches, S`hampton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stoke is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Stoke has had a series of home games.
- In this match, S`hampton is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in S`hampton: Aribo J.
(Inactive)
Bree J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Cisse L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in S`hampton: Edozie S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Seko T.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Stoke City?
Southampton has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Southampton?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Stoke City were as follows:
29.10.2024
Southampton
-
Stoke City
3:2
27.04.2024
Southampton
-
Stoke City
0:1
03.10.2023
Stoke City
-
Southampton
0:1
Latest results of Southampton
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 12 |
2 | West Brom | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
3 | Stoke | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Leicester | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
5 | Coventry | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 8 |
6 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
7 | Swansea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Portsmouth | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Preston | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Birmingham | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
11 | Norwich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
12 | Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
13 | Southampton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
14 | Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
15 | Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
16 | Charlton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
17 | Hull | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
18 | QPR | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
19 | Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
20 | Ipswich | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
21 | Derby | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 2 |
22 | Oxford Utd | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
23 | Sheffield Wed | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
24 | Sheffield Utd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Which TV channels are streaming of Southampton - Stoke City?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
---|
Usa | Paramount+ |